Brokerage
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Recommendation
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Sentiment
|
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Merrill Lynch |
||
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Morgan Stanley |
||
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AG Edwards |
|
Advanced
Micro Devices (AMD)
·
Founded in 1969 and focuses on Microprocessors, Flash memory and
silicon-based solutions
·
Went public September 1972
AMD Technology
and Products:
·
AMD Chips:
·
Athlon:
·
Athlon launched
3rdQ1999 – 1GHz Athlon launched March of 2000
·
Athlon MP chip
– Used in a 2-processor server and workstation setup
·
Athlon 64 – Out
September 22, 2003 – see Hammer below
·
Duron:
·
Low end
processor, around 750mhz
·
“Morgan and
Appaloosa” will replaced the Duron and K6 sometime in 2001 and 2002
·
Hammer: - Now
referred to as AMD64
·
64-Bit chip
architecture called the “Hammer Family” - 8th generation X86-64
·
Sledgehammer –
For 4-8 way servers - Late 2001introduction for servers
·
ClawHammer -
For 1-2P server, workstation, performance desktops, and mobile electronics
·
Opteron Hammer
– For large servers – Released late 2002
·
Hammer Launched
September 2003 after a delay – Having problems shrinking the Athlon 64 to a
size where they can manufacture it profitably
·
Opteron - For 2-way and 4-way servers
·
Used in the
supercomputer called Redstorm, from Cray and Sandia National Lab
·
Part of the Hammer
Line - for servers and workstations
·
PC version
released September 2003
·
Sempron –
Successor to Athlon
·
Turion – 64 bit
laptop chip that will compete with Intel’s Centrino
·
AMD Dual
Core Processor – Released mid 2005
·
AMD focusing on
the server market fist with their first dual-core offering
·
Why servers and
not PC’s – AMD sees more use and software for the server market to take
advantage of the power of dual core chips
·
Will be able to
swap out the chipset on existing servers with the new dual core chips and a
quick install of new software
·
Consumes 30%
less power than Intel’s highest end server chips that they are offering in the
fist half of 2005
·
Dual Core for
PC named Athlon 64 X2
·
AMD Flash
Memory:
·
Developed flash
memory and processors for cell phones with LSI Logic
·
AMD and LSI
Logic will collaborate to develop optimal interfaces between baseband
processors and flash memory for the CDMA marketplace, as well as developing
multi-chip package (MCP) solutions to house the baseband processor and flash
memory product
·
Will place the
flash memory on top of the processor instead of beside it to reduce the space
making cell phone ultimately smaller
·
Flash memory
remembers data when the phone is turned off
·
AMD sees flash
memory as the fastest growing product in the semiconductor industry for the
next several years
·
AMD’s flash
memory used in portable electronics, set-top boxes, telecom and networking,
automotive, PC’s and peripherals
·
Spansion –
Venture with Saifon Semiconductor and Fujitsu for Flash memory – 2003
·
AMD has 60%
stake in the venture
·
The largest NOR
Flash memory company in the world – 2004
·
In 2004 – 90%
of phones used NOR chips, by 2008 expected to go down to 50%
·
MirrorBit
technology – stores 2 bits in each cell
·
Bertrand Cambou
is the CEO of Spansion
·
Has a 27.8%
market share for non-volatile memory – May 2004 – Intel has 18.3% market share
·
Producing 12
inch flash wafers in their Japanese plant – Plant will be in full production by
2007
·
ORNAND – Flash
Memory
·
Combines Nor
(not or) and NAND (not and) in one wafer
·
In 2006 will
use 65nm tech
·
Will go to 45nm
in 2008
·
2004 – Feeling
the effects of the slowdown in the Flash market at the end of 2004 and January
2005 – Flash segment posted a loss in 3Q2004
·
January 2005 –
CEO Hector de J. Ruiz called Flash
business performance “freaking dismal” – AMD had to revise downward their sales
guidance
·
Lost lead to
Intel in the Flash market in 2004
·
AMD Chip
Notables:
·
1997 – Launched
the AMD-K6 processor
·
Stopped its
Mustang chip line – in favor of the “SledgeHammer” chip line for 4-8-way
servers
·
Hyper Transport
Technology – makes connections between chips faster – will license the
technology most for intellectual property more than cash
·
AMD is banned
from developing a chips that is similar to Intel Itanium or one that may
emulate it - From a 1996 agreement between the two companies
Advanced Micro Devices Acquisitions and Alliances:
·
AMD’s first
“major” partner for Home PC’s was with Compaq in 1994
·
Bought Nexgen
in 1996 which designed the NX686, from which AMD further developed into the K6
·
Venture with
United Technology to build a $300M advanced chip plant in
·
Developing
flash memory and new processors for cell phones with LSI Logic
·
With Saifon
Semiconductor and Fujitsu – new partnership for Flash memory chips – AMD
investing $50M in Saifon with a 10% stake
·
MirrorBit
technology – stores 2 bits in each cell
·
New venture
with Fujitsu called FASL LLC - AMD owns
60%
·
Venture
marketed under Spansion – 2003
·
The largest NOR
Flash memory company in the world - 2004
·
Bertrand Cambou
is the CEO of Spansion
·
Has a 27.8%
market share for non-volatile memory – May 2004 – Intel has 18.3% market share
·
Acquired the
Informational-Appliance unit of National Semiconductor – August 2003
·
Unit includes
the Geode family of microprocessors which AMD will use in Smart Displays and TV
Set-Top boxes
·
Supplying
Lenovo (Legend) of
·
FASL LLC – a
joint venture with Fujitsu in June of 2003
·
INVENT
(International Venture for Nanolithography) – Consortium of companies including
AMD, IBM, Infineon, and Micron with R&D on Nanolithography – Announce July
2005
·
Each company
contributed $50M in a $580M research project based at Nanotech (An Affiliate of
SUNY- Albany)
·
Toshiba and ADM
announced Toshiba will be using ADM chips in its roughly 20% of its laptops
they sell in the
·
Acquired ATI
Technologies in 2006 for $5.4B
AMD General
Info:
·
In 1999 had 825
patents compared to Intel’s 735
·
The chips
industry has a inherently short product life cycle with a migration to
ever-higher performance microprocessors
·
Main
competitors for Flash are Intel, Samsung, Toshiba, STMicroelectrics, Sharp,
Renesas, Silicon Storage
·
Manufacturing:
·
Has only one
factory which is located in
·
Chartered
Semiconductor Manufacturing will also produce AMD chips in 2005
·
AMD Market
Share:
·
PC Market
Share:
·
In 3rdQ2000 –
PC processor market share – 17% (INTC – 81.9%)
·
May 2003 – PC
market share 20% - server market share 5%
·
2004 – 15.8%
·
AMD says their
marketshare peaked in 2001 with 20.8%
·
Retail notebook
chip market share:
·
18.9% - June
2005 (Intel - 79.4%)
·
NOR flash
market share – 25% in 2003 – the market leader
·
32-Bit market
share – 5.7% - 3Q2004
·
Wants to
control a 20% market share for 32-bit processors by 2005
·
Flash market
share – Combined
·
No.1 with 21% -
Samsung No2 with 16% - 2003
·
Has processors
in 9 out of the 10 PC makers
·
Processors in
corporate computers
·
AMD had no
processors in any of the top makers in the 1990’s
·
CEO Hector de
J. Ruiz took over from W.J. “Jerry” Sanders III April 2002
·
W.J. “Jerry”
Sanders III Founded the company in 1969 – he was a former engineering at Fairchild
Semiconductor
·
Return to
Profitability in 2003:
·
Plans to be
profitable in 2003
·
4Q2003 – First
profit since 2001
·
December 2002 –
Average chip price - $55 (Intel $155)
·
Dell is the
only US PC maker that does not use AMD chips in their PC’s – 2004
·
50 X 15
·
Plan to develop
under-developed countries
·
Expects to
connect 50% of the world’s population to the Internet by 2015
·
Currently only
10% of the world’s population is connected
·
Personal
Internet Communicator – Ultra small, low priced PC for basic computing and
Intent surfing for
1.
Uses Geode
Processors and will cost $250 with a monitor
2.
Solectron
manufacturing the hand sized PC
·
“Intel
identified the shift to mobility quicker than AMD did” – Sam Bhavnani, Current
Analysis – January 2004
·
2005 – H-P is
now expected to use more AMD chips than Intel’s in some of their server lines
·
Project “X” –
Secret venture that started with Compaq (H-P) and AMD developing what is now
the Opteron based server chipset – Formed in 2002 and announced partnership in
February 2004
·
Lawsuit against
Intel – Filed June 2005
·
New suit
against Intel claiming they had a relentless global campaign and provided
improper subsides to companies who used their products to help win sales and
stifle competition.
·
Claims states
Intel used bribes, threats, and other intimating factors on 12 computer
manufactures. AMD plans to subpoena some
of those 12 manufactures
·
Claims Include:
· Intel gave Ingram Micro rebated on Intel chips under
an agreement that Ingram Micro would not redistribute chips in
· Intel threatened Acer and said they would increase
the price of chips to them if they used AMD chips
· Used tactics that pressured H-P to pull their
products with AMD chips off the market
· Gave and offered IBM million in marketing funds for
Intel to be an exclusive supplier for IBM
·
Torrenza –
common socket for chipsets
Brokerage
|
Recommendation
|
Sentiment
|
|
Goldman Sachs |
|
|
|
Deutsche Securities |
||
|
Prudential |
Agere Systems (AGR) Allentown, PA CEO John T. Dickson www.agere.com
·
Spun-off from
Lucent in 2001
·
Was Lucent’s
communication chip unit - makes integrated circuits for communication products and optoelectronics
·
Lucent held a
58% stake then spun-off the rest in an IPO March 2001
·
Agere - Latin for “to lead”
·
Makes
semiconductors and communication equipment for Local Area Networks and chips
for disk drives
·
Strong focus on
Digital Signal Processors, Radio Frequency chips for GSM, CDMA, TDMA
Agere Systems Acquisitions, Stake and Divestitures:
·
·
Selling or
shuttering its optoelectronics unit
·
Division used
to account for 30% of its revenue now only 10%
·
CEO John
Dickson – “Optoelectronics it’s a low growth market that’s being commoditized,
even when it recovers, its will not sustain attractive margins
·
Now just
focusing on semiconductors used in communication equipment
·
Sold large
parts of its optoelectric business to TriQuint Semi for $40M
·
Selling it
wafer manufacturing plant in
·
Acquired
TeraBlade for $21M – January 2004 – makes computer networking switches
Agere Systems General Info:
·
Protocol
Independent chip – stand alone chip that is four times as fast and transmits
40B bits per second thus allowing to reduce the number of chips
·
4Q2003 – First
profit since going public
Brokerage
|
Recommendation
|
Sentiment
|
|
Goldman Sachs |
||
|
SG Cowen |
||
|
Lehman Brothers |
Agilent (A) Palo Alto, CA CEO William Sullivan www.agilent.com
· IPO in November 1999
· Spun – off from H-P in June 2000
· Makes testing and measuring equipment for wireless and electronic communication systems
· Testing and measuring was the main “core” of H-P from the very beginning
Agilent Divisions:
·
Test and
Measurement
·
2003 net
rev - $2.5B – 41% of their revenue
·
Testing
solutions for broadband and data networks, fiber networks, transport networks,
wireless networks
·
Automated
Test
·
2003 net
rev - $0.8B – 13.2% of revenue
·
Test
systems for semiconductor manufacturing and electronic manufacturing
·
Semiconductor
Products
·
2003 net
rev - $1.6B – 26.4% of revenue
·
Semiconductor
components. Assemblies and modules
·
Life
Science and Chemical Analysis
·
2003 Net
rev of $1.2B – 19.8% of revenue
·
Microarrays,
microfulidics, gas and liquid chromatography, mass spectrometry software
Agilent General
Info:
·
Optical
mouse senor – the end of the mouse pad
·
Once had a healthcare unit that dealt with
ultrasound and cardiology systems
·
Sold its healthcare unit to Phillips Electronics
for $1.7B
·
Acquired
Objective Systems Integrated for $665M -
2001
·
Makes software
for testing and diagnostics of equipment
·
3G
wireless, optical, broadband technology
·
Acquired
RedSwitch – 2002 – Infinibrand and RapidIO technology
·
Has a 37.2%
market share in process testing (Teradyne – 24.6%)
·
New CEO William
Sullivan started March 2005 and replaced Edward “Ned” Barnholt who was Agilent’s first CEO
·
Revenue
breakdown:
·
December 2002 -
·
2004 – More
than half of its revenue is generated outside of the
·
Restructuring
of 2005:
·
Selling its
semiconductor chip business – Announced June 2005
·
Unit pulled in
$2B of its total $7B in revenue in 2004
·
Unit makes
chips for fiber, mobile phones and data storage companies
·
Sold unit to
KKR and Silver Lake Partners for $2.66B
·
Selling its
stake in its lighting business and plans to spin-off two other units in 2006
(Systems on-a-chip unit and memory test unit)
·
Sold its 47%
stake in Lumileds Lighting to Philips Electronics for $950M
·
With the sale
of its semiconductor and lighting business, Agilent plans to focus solely on
testing equipment
·
Expecting to
save $450M annually in operating cost and will cut roughly 9400 jobs
·
“This is all
about focusing on the $40B Measurement Market…as a diversified company, we were
trading at a 25% to 35% discount to our peers” – CEO William Sullivan, August
2005
Brokerage
|
Recommendation
|
Sentiment
|
|
Merrill Lynch |
||
|
Lehman Brothers |
||
|
AG Edwards |
|
Altera (ALTR)
·
Founded in 1983
with their invention of the reprogrammable gate array (logic device)
o
Founders were
mainly from Fairchild Semiconductor
o
Altera’s name
derived from and “alterable” chip
o
Started as a
fables chip designer and outsourced originally to Ricoh, then Sharp and TSMC-
receiving jeers from the valley’s chip community
o
Went Public
March 1988
·
PLD
Designer/Manufacture – Programmable Logic Devices
o
EP300 – World’s
first reprogrammable PLD
o
High-density
integrated circuits you can program on site with their software
o
Stratix – High
density FPGA’s
o
Cyclone – Entry
level, Low cost FPGA’s
·
System-on-a-programmable-chip
(SOPC) designer, CMOS PLD, FPGA
Altera Acquisitions:
·
Acquired
Intel’s PLD unit in 1994
·
Acquired
Boulder Creek Engineering – co-developer of the Signal Tap Logic analyzer -
1999
·
Acquired
Hammercores – IP (Intellectual Property) Provider – known for its DSP cores
Altera General Info:
·
Specializes in
FPGA’s (Field Programmable Gate Arrays)
CPLD’s – Complex Programmable Logic Devices
·
Sells more than
500 device and packaging combinations
·
In 2000 -
Federal Jury found Altera’s Flex 8000 chips infringed on two of Xilinx’s
patents
o
Line accounts
for only 2% of Altera’s 2000 total revenue
·
CEO Succession:
o
John Daane – from LSI Logic – replaced Rodney Smith in 2000 (Rodney Smith
became CEO November 2003)
·
Dec 2000 - Estimated sales will be flat due to customers large inventory
instead of the projected 12%-15%
·
“Cyclone” – low end chip launched early 2003 - $4 to $40 per chip
·
Uses Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSMC) for manufacturing services
Brokerage
|
Recommendation
|
Sentiment
|
|
Goldman Sachs |
||
|
Merrill Lynch |
||
|
Deutsche Sec. |
Analog Devices (ADI) Norwood, MA CEO Jerald G. Fishman www.analog.com
·
Makes high
performance integrated circuits for analog and digital devices
·
Analog or
“linear” signals represent real-world phenomena, such as temperature, pressure,
sound, speed, and motion which can be measured by analog sensors then converted
to digital signature then manipulated into digital signal processing
·
Makes Linear,
Mixed Signal, and Digital Integrated Circuits (IC’s)
·
Electronics ranging from industrial process control, factory automation
equipment, security systems, defense electronics, base stations, wireless
telephones, computers, security systems, automobiles CAT scanners, digital
entertainment
Analog Devices
History and Acquisitions:
·
Founded in 1965
·
From the 1965 to the early 1990’s Analog Devices focused on industrial,
instrumentation, and def3ense electronics, then branched into PC , digital
consumer products, communication products and automobiles
·
Acquired ChipLogic – For $68.3M – January 2001 –Software for voice,
broadband access, and network protocol processing
·
Acquired Staccato Systems – For $23.8M – Jan 2001 – audio synthesis
technology
Analog Devices
General Info:
·
Largest
production group is Standard Linear IC’s (SCIC’s) – data converters and amplifiers
·
Data and
converters represented 60% of rev – 2003
·
26% of
customers in the
·
Competitors
include Cirrus Logic, Linear Technology, Maxim Integrated, National
Semiconductor, Phillips Semiconductor, ST Microelectrics, an dTexas Instruments
·
Expects annual
growth of 25%
·
2003, 19%
Europe, 18%
· Analog products represented 78% of revenue in 2003 – DSP products were 22%
· Analog Device market share:
· Controls 45% market share for analog converters and 40% of their revenue
· Controls 40% market share for amplifiers
· Viewed as bellwether for semiconductor business because it reports quarterly results ahead of most of its competitors
· Product portfolio of over 10,000 products with its ten largest customers only representing 12% of their revenue in 2004 with their top 1000 customers cumulatively accounted for only 41% of revenue
· Technology in Digital Cameras, Cell Phone, Cellular base stations, automotive electronics, and Digital TV’s
· TSMC – Manufactures the majority of Analog Devices products
· 2003 – 35% to 40% of their revenue was from industrial market, Communications market represented 35% to 40%, PC – 15% (for power usage and signal processing in flat panel displays), 10% for consumer electronics (DVD players, Digital TV’s, digital cameras and camcorders)
·
·
Collaborations with Datang Mobile – 2004/2005
·
Developing chips for mobile phones that uses new wireless standard
approved by Chinese government
·
2005:
·
Expecting
strong sales in first half of 2005
·
“2005 could be one of the best years in our history” – CEO Jerald G. Fishman
·
Wants to
increase revenue to $5B from 2003’s $2.05B
Brokerage
|
Recommendation
|
Sentiment
|
|
Goldman Sachs |
||
|
SG Cowen |
||
|
Merrill Lynch |
Applied
Materials (AMAT)
·
Worlds largest
maker of equipment used to manufacture semiconductors and Flat Panel Displays
Applied
Material Products:
·
Wafer
fabrication systems, Chemical Vapor Deposition (CVD), Plasma etching, Physical
Vapor Deposition (PVD), Etch, Implant, Thermal Processing, Epitaxy, Metrology
and Inspection, Chemical mechanical polishing
Applied
Material Acquisitions:
· Acquired Process Diagnostics & Control (PDC) in 1997 – Israeli – makes inspection tools
· Acquired ETEC - Makes photo masks - has 80% market share in photo masks – ETEC produces systems that make patterns in photomasks
· Acquired Consilium – Manufacturing Execution System software (MES) – enables chip makers to easily manage 300mm wafer movement and equipment
· Tried to buy KLA Tencor – Fell through
· Acquired Global Knowledge – Data mining services for semi-manufacturing
Applied
Material General: Info
·
Extremely
cyclical market – when times get tough, chipmakers tend to postpone purchase of
large equipment
·
Has equipment
on display in the Smithsonian
·
Supplies
essential equipment used by more than 90% of the world’s chip makers
·
Equipment and
Technology:
·
No.1 supplier
of 65nm polishing machines
·
Black Diamond –
Chemical film that’s wrapped around circuitry as insulation – “low-k”
dielectrics
·
Swift Ion
Implanter – New machine that replaces three separate machines into one – makes
semiconductor chips faster and allows them to use less power
·
Using
electrochemical planarization technology for polishing – Novellus abandoned the
use due to its complexity
·
Notables:
·
Fiscal 4th
Quarter 2000 – Their strongest quarter in terms of bookings, revenues, and
profitability in the history of their company – All on the heals of speculation
of a downturn in the sector and the economy
·
CEO James
Morgan becoming chairman and new CEO, from Intel, is Michael R. Splinter
·
Going through
restructuring that will trigger $425M in charges for the next four quarters
starting in 2003
·
Competitors
include Tokyo Electron and Novellus
·
Ended its seven
year patent dispute with Novellus – September 2004
·
Dividends -
Will issue dividends to shareholders beginning in June of 2005 and announced
$4B in stock repurchase program through March of 2008
·
Cash on hand –
Jan 2005 - $6.4B
Brokerage
|
Recommendation
|
Sentiment
|
|
Goldman Sachs |
|
|
|
Lehman Brothers |
|
|
|
Smith Barney |
|
Applied
Micro Circuits (AMCC)
·
Originally
specialized in military circuitry but now in high speed optic chips
·
Develops,
manufactures, and markets high bandwidth silicon solutions for optical networks
·
Integrated
circuits incorporating analog, mixed signal, and digital designs to transmit
voice and data over a fiber network
·
Sells to
Juniper Networks, Cisco, Nortel, Alcatel, Lucent, Nokia, 3Com
·
Buying MMC
Networks for $4.5B – makes network processors for telecom equipment
·
Cisco accounts
for 10% of their sales, Nortel – 18% of sales
·
October 2002 –
over $1B in cash net of debt – almost no debt
·
Buying JNI
Corp. for $190M – JNI makes fiber channel host bus adapters for storage area
networks – August 2003
·
Acquiring the
PowerPRS unit from IBM - makes
switch-fabric product line – October 2003
Brokerage
|
Recommendation
|
Sentiment
|
|
Merrill Lynch |
||
|
Deutsche Sec. |
||
|
BofA Securities |
ASM
Lithography (ASML)
· Lithography projection system – traces patterns in silicon wafers that later become the circuitry for semiconductors
· Sub micron imaging systems
· Systems cost between $7M to $10M
· Nikon and Cannon – biggest rivals
· Acquired Silicon Valley Group for $1.6B
· Will make them the No.1 provider of lithography equipment – ASML had a 35% worldwide market share, now will have a 43% share
· Makes wafer processing equipment and has a non lithography division
· Has an optical parts subsidiary called Tinsley Labs
·
Having to DELAY
the acquisition due to some possible
· Working with Intel to develop Extreme Ultra Violet Lithography (EUV)
·
2001 – 36% of
its revenue form the
· 2004 – Gross margin ranging from 35% to 38%
·
CEO William
Maris resigned and replaced by Eric Meurice
·
Nikon claims
ASM is infringing on their patents and wants to block their machines from
entering the
·
ASM Lithography found to infringe on Nikon’s patents
· 3Q2004 – ASM Lithography took a 33M Euro charge sue its infringement
Brokerage
|
Recommendation
|
Sentiment
|
|
Goldman Sachs |
|
|
|
Merrill Lynch |
||
|
Schwab Soundview |
|
Broadcom (BRCM)
·
Makes circuits
for broadband digital transmissions of voice, video, and data
Broadcom
Acquisitions:
·
Bought Innovent
Systems - makes integrated circuits and radio transmitters (Broadcom's first
step into wireless broadband)
·
Bought Altima –
makes chips for small to mid sized business networks
·
Bought Silicon
Spice – chip for communication equipment
·
Bought Allayer
– optical chips for networks
·
Bought Vision
Technology – chips for audio and video programs
·
Bought Blue
Steel Networks (Internet security chips) - makes chips that will help with
security for DSL
·
Bought Digital
Furnace - Has software that makes cable 3 times faster upstream
·
Bought Element
14 of England for $641.1M – makes chips for cable modems, wireless cable
systems and VDSL, ADSL
·
Acquired SiByte
for $2B
·
Has one product
– Mercurian Network Processor – used in LANS and goes inside routers to speed
up connections
·
One more
processor to compliment Broadcom in an end to end solution for its customers
·
Acquiring
Vision Technology of
·
Makes chips
that allows the customization and personalization of TV and video recording and
playback – gives set top boxes more functions at a better price
·
Will become
Broadcom
·
Motorola, MSFT,
and Scientific Atlanta use their chips
·
CEO Henry
Nicholas “ This accelerates our lead in next-generation set top boxes”
·
Bought Server
Works for $1.03B – makes input/output chips used in servers that use Intel
processors
·
Acquiring
Mobilink for $190M – GPPS chipmakers
·
Has acquired 22
companies sent since in went public in 1991 – from 1991-2002
·
Acquired 13
companies in the year 2000 alone
·
Acquiring Zyray
Wireless for $97.7M – July 2004
·
Makes mobile
communication chipsets
·
Acquiring Zeevo
for $32M – March 2005 – Makes chips for Bluetooth wireless chipsets
Broadcom General Info:
· In lawsuit with Intel over proprietary information and technology – Both hate each other – INTC bitter over employees leaving for Broadcom. INTC says they took with them proprietary info
·
Dispute over,
August 2003 – new cross licensing agreement until 2008 with no royalties being
paid by either side
·
Filed lawsuit
against Qualcomm over 10 patents infringement complaints – May 2005
·
New
system-on-a-chip solution for home networking
·
BCM 3352 –
world’s 1st single chip data over cable service interface
specification – for cable telephony
·
3COM and late
1990/2000
·
Broadcom took a
2% stake in 3Com
·
3Com accounts
for 15% of BRCM’s sales – Their chips are in 3Com’s network cards – 2000
·
March 2001 –
lost contract from 3Com – one of their three largest clients
·
Makes GSM and
GPRS chips – used in Blue Tooth and 802.11b networks
·
Outsourcing all
chip manufacturing
·
WiFi chips
802.11g – built and combined all Wi-Fi functions onto a single chip
·
CEO Henry
Nicholas III abruptly resigned January 2003 – Alan E. Ross is new CEO
·
Mr. Nichols
still has 33% voting control of Broadcom and owns 29.2M shares
·
Scott McGregor
will be the new CEO January 3 2005
·
July 2005 –
Facing a $110M securities class-action settlement – Broadcom claims no
wrong-doing
· Qualcomm Litigation:
· May 2007 – Court found Qualcomm “willfully infringed on three patents related to EV-DO
· Qualcomm needs to pay Broadcom $19.6M in damages and will not allow Qualcomm to use the technology in any of their semiconductors
· The patents are related to video compression, push-to-talk functions and certain voice and data access on networks
·
Injunction
could prevent Qualcomm from selling its chips but will likely not effect
Qualcomm because all of its chips are sold outside of the
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Recommendation
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Sentiment
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SG Cowen |
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Pacific Growth Eq. |
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Piper Jaffrey |
Cirrus Logic (CRUS) Fremont, CA CEO David French http://www.cirrus.com/
·
Premier
supplier of advanced integrated circuits that combine mixed-signal processing,
precision analog techniques, embedded processors, and application-specific
algorithms into system-on-a-chip solutions for existing and emerging growth
markets
· Develops and markets products that address the needs of the Local Area Network (LAN), Wide Area Network (WAN), and Internet environments. Key customers include Western Digital, Seagate, Fujitsu, Hewlett-Packard, Dell, Compaq, IBM, Cisco Systems, Bay Networks, Motorola, and Sony
·
Magnetic Storage Operations Unit
· Internet Solutions Unit
· Bought Shareware and LuxSonor Semiconductor
Brokerage
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Recommendation
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Sentiment
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SG Cowen |
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UBS |
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JP Morgan |
|
·
Digital and
mixed-signal integrated circuits
·
Static RAM
producer
·
Makes ships
used in communication equipment
·
Solar power
chips
·
Three Units:
Memory (SRAM), Non-Memory, and SunPower
·
Acquired
Alation Systems in June 2000 – makes analog, DSP, and RF technology in the
wireless field
·
Acquired
In-System Design for $45M – designs communication chips for PC’s and small
devices
·
Acquiring FillFactory
of
·
Makes CMOS
(Complementary Metal Oxide Semiconductors) Image Sensors
·
Used in digital
cameras and imaging
·
Will double the
orders to cell phone manufactures from
Cypress Semiconductor General Info:
·
SunPower:
·
Five inch chips
which contain photovoltaic cells that produce three watts of power per hour
·
Chips are used
in solar panels and
·
Unit was
acquired in 2002 and
·
Orders:
o
2005 – Has over
$100M in orders for their Sunchips and over $200M in 2006
·
Large contract
with Solon of Germany and supplying them with their chips for five years under
a $300M deal
·
Will most
likely take the SunPower Unit public and retain a large stake
·
“Ultimately
[SunPower] will be a cash cow for
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Sentiment
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Merrill Lynch |
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Lehman Brothers |
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Deutsche Sec. |
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DuPont
Photomask (DPMI) Round Rock,
TX CEO Peter Kirlin http://www.photomask.com/
· Designs photo masks for AMD, Hyundai, IBM, Philips, Atmel, Samsung, LSI Logic, Fujitsu, Lucent, HWP, Micron Technology, Texas Instruments, Motorola
· DuPont has a 33% stake in DuPont Photomask
· Sales fell 73% in 4thQ2000
· Toppan Printing acquiring a stake of DuPont Photmask for $650M – October 2004
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Recommendation
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Lehman Brothers |
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CSFB |
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Smith Barney |
Fairchild
Semiconductor (FCS)
·
High performance power products for the computing,
communications, consumer, industrial and automotive segments
· Fairchild’s “Power Franchise” - portfolio of components that optimize system power through minimization, conversion, management and distribution functions.
·
Bought the
power device unit form Samsung
· CEO Mark Thompson became the new CEO in May 2005 replacing the outgoing CEO Kirk Pond
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Genus
(GGNS) Sunnyvale, CA CEO William Elder http://www.genus.com/
·
Specializes in equipment for chemical vapor thin film deposition in which
layers of conductive and non-conductive materials are deposited onto the
surface of semi-conductors to control electrical current
·
Atomic Layer Deposition - Allows smaller chips - now can stack layers on
top of each other
·
Samsung huge client
·
ASM only competition
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Recommendation
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Sentiment
|
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Morgan Stanley |
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AG Edwards |
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CIBC World Mrkt |
Helix
Technologies (HELX)
·
Sells cryogenic
vacuum pumps to semi conductors – chiefly AMAT
Brokerage
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Recommendation
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Sentiment
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Lehman Brothers |
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SG Cowen |
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Wachovia |
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Integrated Device Tech (IDTI) Santa Clara CEO Jerry Taylor http://www.idt.com/
·
Makers of
specialized memory chips and equipment used by Internet and cell providers
·
Five divisions:
·
Communications
Memories
·
Networking
Products – Ethernet and ATM switches
·
Embedded RISC
Microprocessors – MIPS
·
SRAM Products
·
Logic &
Clock Management Products
·
·
Integrated
Device Technology started out in memory but now has focused on switch chips in
networks
·
Buying
Integrated Circuit Systems for $1.7B – Integrated circuits make timing chips
Brokerage
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Recommendation
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Sentiment
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JP Morgan |
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AG Edwards |
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SG Cowen |
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Intel (INTC) Santa Clara
CEO Paul Otellini http://www.intel.com/
Units:
Network Communications
Group – 7 optical networking chips, wireless WAN
Communications Products
Group – Subsidiary Dialogic – runs Picasso Communications
Wireless Communications
and Computing Group
Architecture Group –
processors, Celeron, Xeon (Servers), and Pentium
New Business Group –
Intel online services
Technology and
Manufacturing
Intel Capital – Venture funding arm
Intel Technology:
·
Intel Chips,
Names and Code Names:
·
Banias – Chip with completely new architecture for mobile
computers
· Castine – now IXP 2800 – new network processor chip
· INTC has a 95% market share in servers that use 1 or 2 chips – only 5% of the market share in servers with 8 or more
· Centrino – A suite (bundle) of processors with a focus on less energy consumption for notebooks and WiFi ability
· Chips for smart cards, laptops and wireless applications – Launched early 2003
· Centrino is not a chip but a bundle consisting of a Pentium M processor with WiFi radio chip as well
· Early versions do not support 802.11a or g – only b
·
·
·
·
Foster – 32 bit chip
· Grantsdale – for base stations and wireless networking, and media center
·
Uses PCI express bus
·
Itanium – Originally called
·
(64bit)
Microprocessor - development started in
1994
· Successor to the Itanium called “McKinley” – will be out 2002
· Next generation called Tanglewood and will be out 2006 – built with six processors
· Itanium is two years late and probably just going to be used for testing
· First went on sale in 2001
· Aimed at servers and workstations
· McKinley now to be released mid-2003
· Memory is right on the chip
· Itanium II
·
Itanium II has
been in development for 8 years – 64 bit for workstations and servers
·
Dual Core
Itanium will be out in 2005
·
Intel hired all
the H-P employees who worked on Itanium
·
Sorftware is
seen as a hurdle for the chip, many older business programs that were designed
for x86 chips cant run at top speed with Itanium
·
Montecito out
July 2006
·
Draws an
average of 100 watts of power and has 1.7B transitors
· La Grande – Security feature used to wall off portions of a computer from attack
·
Has security
features in
·
· Released January 2004 – 32 bit – may eventually be upgraded to 64 bit
· 4 GHz chip delayed until 2005 – problems addressing power consumption
· Next generation will be called Nolona
·
·
Tejas – 64 bit chip due out early 2005
· Project scrapped due to technical difficulty with power consumption – May 2004 – Also shuttered “Jayhawk”
·
Timna - Low-end chip –– pulled plug Oct. 2000, too many
problems and wants to focus on higher end chips – will continue Celeron
· Vanderpool – single processor that runs different kinds of operating software at the same time – called virtualization – Expected out in 2007
· Woodcrest - server chip expetecd to reduce power consumption by 35%
· Yonaqh – Dual core laptop chip
·
Intel
Pentium Line:
·
Pentium 4
· Released December 2000
· Uses Rambus memory technology
· “Hyper Threading” – Carries out more than one string of calculations at once – can boost speed by 25% - called “HT”
· Will have a 64B Pentium out late February 2005
· Pentium M – For notebooks – Increase battery life
· Has slower clock speed than other Pentium chips but better utilizes the chips existing clock speed to producer faster computations
· Turns off parts of its internal circuitry that is not being used ant the time and thus less power consumption
· Now called Centrino
· Roughly 34% of notebooks sold in 2005 will have Pentium M’s
· In 2004 - Only 13.8% of laptops sold had Pentium M’s
·
Intel
Devices and Gadgets
·
Digital Music
Player
·
Chat Pad – For
instant messages and email
· Web Tablet – wireless screen the size of a book to surf the Internet
·
Intel Flash Memory and Mobile
Phone Tech:
· StrongArm processor and flash memory for cell phones
· Being used in Microsoft’s hand held computers
· 3-in-1 chip design – has flash, logic, and analog chips incorporated to reduce the size of the chip – for cell phone designs
·
“
· Single chip that includes microprocessor, flash memory and base-band capability for cell phones
· No.1 supplier of Flash memory - 2002
· November 2003 – Dropped to No.4 in Flash chips
· XScale – microprocessor for cell phone
· Intel only makes NOR (Nor or) and does not make NAND (Not and) which is used in cameras in 2004
· Question that faces Intel, will NAND take over NOR for cell phones and its use of other functions such as camera and other media applications
· In 2004 – 90% of phones use NOR chips, by 2008
· Intel Ovonics:
· From Stanford Ovshinsky
· Ovonic memory uses a layer of chalcogenide (an alloy) on silicon chips
· Can read, write and store data almost forever and a trillion plus times – Flash memory can’t – Flash wears out over time – Flash also needs to be erased before it can write again so its much slower
· May replace Flash memory in three to five years
· Intel Circuitry:
· Used 300nm and in 2002 and in 2003 will have 90nm circuitry
· Will be using 100 nanometer technology in 2003 and 70 nanometer technology after that
· Can create transistors at 50nm in strained silicon technique in 2002
· 65nm circuitry expected to go into production in 2005
· SRAM – Static Random-Access Memory – 65 nanometer memory – will be released 2005
· Intel WiMax: – Wireless access with a range of 31 miles for portable devices
· Chipset expects to be out in 2006 for laptops
·
Teamed up with Sprint to test in the
·
Will deploy WiMax in
· “WiMax is going to have an even greater impact than WiFi on our business” – Craig Barrett – May 2005
· Radio Free Intel :
· Circuitry for wireless communication - 2003
· “Software Defined Radio” – new platform that analyses the incoming signals in an area such as WiFi in a coffee shop to CDMA signals then enables then to communicate with each other. Enables easy switching between standards
· Wants to put one “ radio” in each chip and make them integrated – currently separate components
· Applications – Video conferencing from a wristwatch, cell phone shrunk to a key chain
· Currently considered to be the new holy-grail – consumer applications 5 to 10 years off
·
Competition
from AMD, TI, MOT, Analog Devices, General Dynamics, SandBridge
·
Dual Core:
·
Intel and the future for chip development – All bets on designing “cores”
– multiple chips, dual cores
·
By 2006 wants
70% of the desktops chipsets to be dual core, 83% of servers Dual core and 70%
laptops dual core
·
Intel claims
performance will increase tenfold from 2004 to 2008 instead of the typical
doubling
·
Intel projected
to release the first dual-core chip to the consumer and second after AMD with
releasing dual-core to server market
·
Making two
kinds of dual core chips for desktop PC’s – Called Pentium D and Extreme Edition
·
Dempsey and
Paxville – Two dual core chips expected out in 1Q2006 for servers
·
Shipped first
dual-core chips in April of 2005
·
Core2Duo –
replaces Pentuim line for high end computers
·
Intel Projects Future Chip Development
and Vision:
· Working on transmitting high definition TV signals over the Internet 2 protocol
· Extreme Ultra Violet Lithography (EUV) - Working with ASML
· Media Processors – MXP Line – Re-programmable printer/copier chips
· Silicon Modulator – operates at 16hz – 50 times faster than current standards – uses phase shifting and breaks most of the barriers in silicon photonics
· Liquid crystal on silicon – chips for high definition TV – Shuttered project October 2004
· Liquid Crystal on Silicon Panels (LCOS) – An alternative to Texas Instrument’s DLP Large Screen TV chips
·
With Clearwire –Portable wireless technology for WiMax (802.16e)
· Clearwire is a new venture from Craig McCaw (Nextlink and XO founder)
· Developed the first continuous laser using silicon using the Raman Effect – Announced February 2005
· Won’t replace the common diode laser in DVD players but may be used in communications and surgery applications
· Released new CMOS chips with all WiFi capabilities including the new 802.11n standard – June 2005
Intel
Acquisitions and Ventures:
· Acquisitions:
· Bought Ziatech for $240M - designs and sells circuits boards used in communication gear, switches, and routers - Nortel, Lu, some of its customers
· Bought Picasso communications
· Bought Level One communication for $2.2B in 1999
· Bought Xircom for $748M – makes cards and other devices for data communication – mobile wireless network services and wireless access for laptops and handheld organizers
· Acquired VxTel for $550M - makes chips that deliver voice and data services on internal optical networks – INTC wanted and entry into these voice chips
· Acquired Light Logic, Cognet, and nSerial – all fiber optic firms
· Building a new plant in Germany and making a new company called Communicant Semiconductor Technologies – will have a 25% stake – will produce wireless and networking products in that plant
· Selling Landesk
· Investing $450M in Micron Tech September 2003 – Second time that Intel has made an investment in Micron and now gives them a 5.3% stake in the company
· Has set up milestone payments and penalties with Microns development of 300mm wafer by 2005
·
Venture with Nanosys to use nanotechnology in future chip development
·
Venture with Nokia and Symbian in designing new handset
templates with PDA functionality – 2004
·
Venture with Micron Technology to develop a new company
focused on NAND flash memory to compete with Asian rivals – Announced November
2005
·
Apple will be a large client with the flash chips powering
their Ipod’s
·
Intel investing $1.2B into the deal while Micron will
invest $995M
·
Venture called IM Flash Technology and Micron will own 51%
Intel General Info:
·
Intel CEO
Succession:
·
Robert Noyce -
CEO from 1968 to 1975, then proceeded to Chairman then Vice Chairman
·
Gordon Moore - CEO
from 1975 to 1987, then proceeded to Chairman then Director
·
Was EVP before
CEO
·
Andrew Grove –
CEO from 1987 to 1998, then became chairman
·
Stopped DRAM
manufacturing which turned out to be a great move
·
Was EVP, then
COO before becoming CEO
·
Craig R. Barrett
– Became CEO 1998
·
Was EVP, then
COO before becoming CEO
·
Paul Otellini
is the next in line, he has held both EVP and COO position
·
He became CEO
May 18 2005 and first CEO without a science or engineering degree
·
Intel likes the
idea of “Two in a box on grooming CEO’s – They encourage overlapping duties fro
the heir apparents
·
Intel
Capital - Invested in over 450
companies
·
July 1, 2000, $4.6B in appreciation, and $7.5B
in value
·
At height of
Internet bubble – Worth over $10B
·
At the end of
March 31, 2003 - $870M
·
Invested $100M
in Elpida Memory of
·
Intel Capital – Buying a stake in Japan Communications making them their
4th largest share holder
·
Japan Communications makes and deploys WiFi in
·
·
Intel
Litigations:
·
Sued Broadcom
over alleged patent infringements
·
Patent dispute
over - August 2003 – New licensing
agreement until 2008 with no royalties being paid
·
Intel and
Market Share:
·
Has a 13.4% of
the total chip share in the world
·
In 2000 had
81.7% of the microprocessor market (AMD 17%)
·
2004 – 90% for
microprocessors
·
X86 servers –
Intel 87%, AMD 4.3% - 2004
·
In
·
Retail notebook
chip market share:
·
79.4% - June
2005 (AMD 18.9%)
·
Intel Profit
Margins:
·
2001 - margins
around - 58%
·
2002 - margin
was 51%
·
2003 – gross
margin expected to be 51% - revised upward to 54% - July 2003
·
2003 chip
margins – notebooks 75%, desktops 65%
·
1Q2004 – 60%
·
2004 – 58%
·
2005 –
Expecting 59% for full year 2005
·
2Q2005 – 56.4%
·
Intel’s
Seasonality:
·
1st
Quarter sales typically slightly lower than 4th quarter
·
Intel typically
has a seasonal slowdown in the second quarter which usually accounts for a 2%
to 4% sequential decline in the quarter
·
September 2000,
had to restate 3rd quarter revenue.
Revenue would be up 3%-5% from 2nd quarter rather than the
stated 9%-10% - blamed slowing of sales in
·
“We are the
only outfit that publishes every wart and pimple of our product line” – CEO
Craig Barrett
·
2001 was a wash
for Intel
·
“Intel Inside”
– Started in 1991 – offers a set amount of supplemental advertising dollars
based on how may chips a computer maker buys.
In return customers run Intel’s chime or logo on their ad
·
Invented the
x86 server business
·
What do they
make per chip?
·
PC Desktop
chips – Intel makes around $135 a piece, Laptop – around $200 a piece – August
2003
·
Average retail
chip price - $155 (AMD $55) - December 2002
·
Has seven new
chips for optical networks
·
Consolidated
their Networking Chips unit with Communications Product unit
·
Microprocessor
unit accounts for 80% of profit and sales
·
Between 1987
and 1997 Intel traded at 15 times next years estimates
·
Intel is said
to be late to the party with baseband chips for cellphones - 2003
·
Wrote off $600M
related to its wireless chip business – November 2003
·
COO, Paul
Otellini on 64-bit technology “You can be fairly confident that when there is
software from an application and operating-system standpoint that will take
advantage of it, Intel will be there. To
add enough memory to a PC to exploit 64-bit computing would cost people $2000
to $3000 in memory”
·
Intel Japan –
Japanese Antitrust officials raided three Intel offices in Japan and grounds
that they may have used their power to pressure some buyers into using their
chips instead of AMD’s – April 2004
·
AMD has made so
many numerous complaints in
·
AMD has also
made various complaints in the
·
In
·
AMD saw its
market share rapidly decline – AMD had an 8% market share in 2004, a 11% market
share in 2003, and a 18% in 2002
·
March 2005 –
Japanese Fair Trade Officials ruled on Anti-Trust concern. Claimed Intel was using rebates to entice
Japanese PC makers to use their chips and had riders in the contract stating
they must use 90% to 100% of Intel chips in their computers
·
New 300nm wafer
will “help with profit margin throughout the year (2004)” – Andy Bryant – April
2004
·
Intel is now
de-emphasizing clock speed
·
Has six 12 inch
chip factories – Two in
·
Completely shuttered
the development of LCOS chip technology for High-Def TV’s – Announced October
2004
·
2004:
·
Encountered
product and development problems (
·
Intel
recaptured the lead in Flash memory from AMD
·
2005 – Earnings
expected to be flat with a 5% to 6% rise in revenue
·
Capital
spending expected to come in at $4.9B to $5.3B (Was $3.8B in 2004)
·
Expecting to
see strong demand for notebook chipsets especially in
·
Reorganizing
into five business units - Previously had two – Intel Architecture (85% of
sales in 2004) and Intel Communication
·
Mobility Group
– Run by Sean Maloney and Dadi Perlmutter
·
Portable and
hand-held devices including cell phones and Flash memory
·
Digital
·
Chips for
business and desktops, servers and communication devices
·
Digital Home –
Run by Don McDonald
·
PC and Home PC
chips
·
Digital Helath
– Run by Louis Burns
·
Chips for
health care products
·
Channel
Products – Run by Bill Siu
·
Product
distribution and Assemblies
·
Investing
roughly $400M in
·
Marks Intel
first entrance into manufacturing in
·
·
·
Chip production
running at capacity in first half of 2005
·
“We think this
is a bullish sign for the rest of the year and into 2006” – John Lau –
Jefferies & Co. - July 2005
·
·
Intel verse AMD
in 2005 – AMD acknowledged to have an advantaged over Intel for 2005
·
“When gross
margins for Intel bottom, you have to get back in” – Apjit Walia – RBC Capital
on when to buy Intel Stock – March 2005
·
Apple
will begin using Intel chips inside its PC computer line – Announced June 2005
·
The G5
made by IBM gave off too much heat to be used in laptops and could not go
beyond 3ghz
·
Apple
chip purchases only represented 5% of IBM’s chip sales
·
Lawsuit against
Intel from AMD – Filed June 2005
·
New suit
against Intel claiming they had a relentless global campaign and provided
improper subsides to companies who used their products to help win sales and
stifle competition.
·
Claims states
Intel used bribes, threats, and other intimating factors on 12 computer
manufactures. AMD plans to subpoena some
of those 12 manufactures
·
Claims Include:
· Intel gave Ingram Micro rebated on Intel chips under
an agreement that Ingram Micro would not redistribute chips in
· Intel threatened Acer and said they would increase
the price of chips to them if they used AMD chips
· Used tactics that pressured H-P to pull their products
with AMD chips off the market
· Gave and offered IBM million in marketing funds for
Intel to be an exclusive supplier for IBM
·
Brokerage
|
Recommendation
|
Sentiment
|
|
Merrill Lynch |
||
|
Deutsche Sec. |
||
|
Schwab Soundview |
Jabil
Circuit Inc. (JBIL) (JBL)
·
Designs and
manufactures electronic circuit boards for OEM’s (Original Equipment
Manufactures)
·
Acquiring five
circuit board manufacturing plants from Marconi in
·
Wants to diversify
their customer base – looking to get into automotive and medical
instrumentation sectors
·
Looking for a
“gradual improvement in business in 2002 and “much improved “ environment in
200
·
March 2002 –
making its first server – for H-P
·
Buying nine
manufacturing plants from Philips Electronics for $231.1M
Brokerage
|
Recommendation
|
Sentiment
|
|
Goldman Sachs |
||
|
Prudential |
||
|
SG Cowen |
KLA-Tencor (KLAC) San Jose, CA CEO Ken Shrolder http://www.tencor.com/
·
Formed in 1997
through merger of KLA Instruments and Tencor Instruments
·
Makes
measurement devices used to improve production in semiconductor factories
Brokerage
|
Recommendation
|
Sentiment
|
|
Merrill Lynch |
||
|
Lehman Brothers |
||
|
Wells
|
Kulicke
and Soffa Industries (KLIC) Willow Grove, PA CEO C. Kulicke http://www.kns.com/
·
Makes packaging
material for semiconductor equipment
Brokerage
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Recommendation
|
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Kyocera (KYO) Japan/San Diego http://www.kyocera.co.jp/
·
Makes ceramic
pieces for semiconductors
·
Wireless
communications and fiber optic equipment
Brokerage
|
Recommendation
|
Sentiment
|
|
JP Morgan |
||
|
SG Cowen |
||
|
CSFB |
Lam
Research Corp (LRCX)
·
Semiconductor
processing equipment
Brokerage
|
Recommendation
|
Sentiment
|
|
SG Cowen |
||
|
JP Morgan |
||
|
Schwab Soundview |
Lattice Semiconductors (LSCC) Hillsboro, OR CEO Cyrus Tsui www.latticesemi.com
·
Makes
Programmable Logic Devices
·
Fired CEO Cyrus
Tsui August 2005 due to probes into executive compensation
·
New CEO is
Stephen Skaggs
Brokerage
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Recommendation
|
Sentiment
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Linear
Technology
·
Operational,
instrumentation, audio amplifiers
·
Voltage
regulators, power management devices
·
References,
comparators and converters
·
Switched-capacity
modulators, sample hold devices
·
Focus on analog
chips
Brokerage
|
Recommendation
|
Sentiment
|
|
Smith Barney |
||
|
Morgan Stanley |
||
|
Lehman Brothers |
LSI
Logic (LSI) Milpitas, CA
CEO Wilfred Corrigan http://www.lsilogic.com/
LSI
Logic products include:
·
ASIC semiconductors
·
Integrated circuits and Storage Area Network Systems
·
Chips used in
communication equipment, networking, and data storage
·
Makes processors for DVD’s, set-top-boxes and LAN’s
LSI Logic
Acquisitions, Stakes and Divestitures:
· Acquired C-Cube Microsystems for $763M – makes video and audio chips
·
Selling chip plants in
· Spinning off its storage unit
LSI Logic
General Info:
·
Makes processors for DVD’s, set-top-boxes and LAN’s
·
Developing
flash memory and new processors for cell phones with LSI Logic
·
Will place the
flash memory on top of the processor instead of beside it to reduce the space
making cell phone ultimately smaller
· Flash memory remembers data when the phone is turned off
· LSI Officers:
· Vice President and CFO both quit in November of 2000
· CEO Wilfred Corrigan resigning in 2005
o New CEO will be Abhi Talwaker
o Abhi Talwaker was Vice President at Intel
o Wilfred Corrigan will become Non-Executive Chairman
· New open standard chip – Alternative to Texas Instruments proprietary processors
· IBM and Broadcom will license the chips and use them in ASIC’s (Application Specific Integrated Circuits)
· Sony and Mototral are some of LSI Logic’s largest customers
· Rapid chip – Process that shortens the design cycle
· Starts with a standard or partially completed chip then the top four layers of materials are customized
· Six months shorter and only 20% of the up font costs and has 80% of the performance of a custom chip
Brokerage
|
Recommendation
|
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Goldman Sachs |
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Merrill Lynch |
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Prudential |
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Marvell
Technologies
(MRVL) Hamilton,
·
Fabless chip maker – Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacture makes there chips
·
Designs mixed signal and digital signal chips
·
Clients are Toshiba, Seagate, Samsung, and Fujitsu – accounted for 99% of
their 1999 total sales
·
Buying Galileo of Israel for $2.7B – makes chips used in networking
switches and controllers
Micron Electronics
(MUEI)
· Memory chips
· Owns 63% of Micron Technology
· Was the number 3 direct supplier of PC’s in the 1990’s
·
Was the 10th largest PC maker in the
· 1 in 10 PC business users know that Micron even makes PC’s
· Direct marketing and inventory just like Dell
· ˝ of sales goes to midsize business between 250 and 1200 employees
· Selling its PC Business – had $1B in sales in 2000
· Buyout Specialist Gores Technology paying $70M for the PC Business
·
Now Called MicronPC
· Filed infringement suit on Rambus and its technology
· Now concentrating on web hosting services
·
Host Pro – web operations
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UBS |
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Smith Barney |
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CSFB |
Micron
Technology Inc. (MU)
·
Worlds 2nd
largest memory chip maker
· Makes DRAM
· Spin-off in 1995 from Micron Electronics (MUEI)
· Funded by potato magnet, J.R. Simplot
·
Buying Toshiba’s memory chip plant
·
Acquiring No.3 Hynix – will now be No.1 surpassing Samsung
·
Talks now Terminated
·
Shifting to DDR technology – expecting to be 40% of its output in 4Q2002
·
Developing DDR2
memory
· Intel investing $450M in Micron Tech September 2003 – Second time that Intel has made an investment in Micron and now gives them a 5.3% stake in Micron
·
Has set up
milestone payments and penalties with Microns development of 300mm wafer by
2005
·
Moving into Flash memory to help smooth out the cyclical environment of
DRAM
·
Being investigated
by Justice Department for DRAM price fixing – Investigation started June 2002
·
January 2004 –
Seeking amnesty from prosecution in exchange for their help
·
Building its
first factory in
·
INVENT
(International Venture for Nanolithography) – Consortium of companies including
AMD, IBM, Infineon, and Micron with R&D on Nanolithography – Announced July
2005
·
Each company
contributed $50M in a $580M research project based at Nanotech (An Affiliate of
SUNY- Albany)
·
Capital
spending expected in 2005 - $1.5B – was $1.3B in 2004
·
No.5 in NAND flash memory in 2006
·
Working with Intel on flash production and starting a jointly owned
company with $1.2B in cash and funding from each company
·
Acquiring Lexar
Media in a stock swap valued at $680M – Lexar focus is on Soncumer storage
cartridges such a s flash cards
·
Venture with Intel to develop a new company focused on NAND
flash memory to compete with Asian rivals – Announced November 2005
·
Apple will be a large client with the flash chips powering
their Ipod’s
·
Intel investing $1.2B into the deal while Micron will
invest $995M
·
Venture called IM Flash Technology and Micron will own 51%
·
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Merrill Lynch |
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Smith Barney |
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Deutsche Sec. |
National
Semiconductor (NSM)
·
Chips for Flat
panel displays, digital music players and game systems
National Semiconductor Acquisitions, Stakes, and
Divestitures:
·
Acquired Cyrix
Corp - Sold to Via Technology
·
Sold its share
of Fairchild Semiconductor
·
Up For
·
Selling Geode
Microprocessor
·
Trying to sell
its Information Appliance Unit – If unable to sell the unit will shutter the
unit
·
Sold Geode to
AMD – August 2003
·
Unit accounted
for 5% of total revenue
·
Sold Imaging
business to Eastman Kodak – September 2004
·
Sold PC Super
I/O unit to WinBound Electronics of
National Semiconductor General Info:
·
Lost bid with
Compaq to supply Compaq with PC chips in the 1990’s to AMD – Huge blow to the
company at the time
·
Bowed out of
the microprocessor race with AMD and INTC in May of 1999
·
Analog chips 71%
of sales but there are 6X more analog chips in info-appliance than in a PC –
Early 2000’s
·
“Geode” –
multi-function chip that can be used in over 150 devices including set-top
boxes
·
Geode Webpad –
writing instrument
·
Sold technology
to AMD in 2003
·
New focus on
higher margin analog technologies
·
Sold its PC
Super I/O business in March of 2005
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Piper Jaffray |
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Lehman Brothers |
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RBC Capital Mkts |
Newport Corp. (NEWP)
· Focus on Fiber Optics, Photronics, Semiconductor Equipment Manufacturing, Video Metrology
· Manufactures and designs measuring devices and research equipment
· Supplies components, assembly systems, and testing devices to chip makers
· In October of 1999 acquired the west coast commercial optics operations for Corning Inc.
·
Bought Unique Equipment of
· Automating minute processes done inefficiently by hand, makes tools that can align fibers 1/10 the size of a human hair with precise points on laser diodes no lager than a grain of sand, and uses lasers to held the tiny devices together
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Goldman Sachs |
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CSFB |
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UBS |
Novellus (NVLS) San Jose, CA
CEO Richard Hill www.novellus.com
·
Wafer
Fabrication
·
Acquired
Gasonics International of $347M – semi conductors
·
Focuses on
service side and not on tech breakthroughs
·
Ended its
patent seven year patent dispute with Applied Materials– September 2004
·
Received $8M
from AMAT regarding the patent dispute and another $8.1M with a reversal of the
dispute – October 2004
Brokerage
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Recommendation
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Sentiment
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Deutsche Sec. |
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JP Morgan |
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UBS |
Photronics (PLAB) Jupiter, FL CEO Constantine Macrilostas http://www.photronics.com/
·
Leading
provider of photo masks used in integrated circuits
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Sentiment
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Goldman Sachs |
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Merrill Lynch |
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Lehman Brothers |
PMC-Sierra (PMCS)
·
Also see
Networks section
·
Designs chips
used to accelerate telecom transmission
· Bought ExtremePackets Devices and AA Netcom
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Sentiment
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Merrill Lynch |
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Lehman Brothers |
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UBS |
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Q
Logic (QLGC)
·
Makes SCSI
Products
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Rambus
(RMBS)
·
High speed
memory bandwidth
·
Doesn’t make
chips itself – depends on licensing fees from memory chip makers that use Rambus
architecture that makes memory run faster – RDRAM
·
Gets 3% to 5%
of the sale of memory chips that use their DDR-SDRAM architecture
·
Royalties
account for 77% of their revenue
·
Sued
·
Micron suing
them on their patents about the architecture
·
New deal with
NEC – will be using their designs
·
Intel’s Pentium
4 is using Rambus technology
·
Infineon Trial
·
February 2003 –
Won an appeals court case filled from Infineon claiming that Rambus hid patent
applications from a chip industry group (Joint Electron Device Engineering
Council – JEDEC) as they set standards for high-speed memory
·
Now cleared and
allowed to proceed with patent infringement claims against Infineon
Technologies – April 2003
·
Rambus still
has other suits against them
·
May 2004 –
Infineon suit still in pre-trial
·
March 2005
–Federal judge (
·
Judge issued a
written ruling but never proceeded with a written ruling
·
March 2005 –
Infineon and Rambus settle their differences in a settlement to the case
·
Infineon will
make quarterly royalty payment to Rambus for $5.85M fro two years starting
November 2005, then up to $100M after the two years have expired
·
Infineon
settled with quarterly payment instead of paying royalties on a per chip basis
·
EU court
rejected one of Rambus’ three chip patents in
·
Geoff Tate who
was CEO has now become Chairman – Harold Hughes is the new CEO
·
In patent
disputes with Hynix, Infineon, Micron and Siemens that revolve around DRAM
·
January 2005 –
Court gave Rambus a positive ruling against Hynix claims
·
January 2005 –
Files suits against Hynix, Nanya Technology, and Inotera Memories over DDR2,
GDDR2, and GDDR3
·
March 2005 –
Samsung negotiating a settlement
·
June 2005 –
Rambus is terminating their cross-licensing agreement with Samsung over SDRAM
and DDRM
·
June 2005 –
Samsung suing Rambus in
·
2005 – New
Rambus architecture called XDR
·
Suing Micron,
Infineon and Hynix – May 2004
·
Claims that the
three colluded to cut production and raise the prices of chips they produced
that used Rambus technology
·
IBM’s new
“Cell” design uses architecture from Rambus
Silicon Valley Group
·
·
Tinsley Laboratories – unit that makes mirrors for the next generation
chip making technology called extreme ultraviolet lithography or EUV – the current
technology will reach its limit in 2005
·
Current is 180 nanometers – EUV 10 nanometers
· Being acquired by ASM Lithography Holdings for $1.6B
Speedfam Intl (SFAM) Chandler, AZ
CEO James Farley www.speedfam.com
·
Surface
preparation for chips
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Recommendation
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Sentiment
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Prudential |
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Bear Stearns |
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Smith Barney |
· World’s six largest semiconductor manufacturer
·
Was
·
Now
· Formed in 1987 with the merger of SGS Microelettronica of Italy and Thomson Semiconductor of France
· Changed name in 1998 from SGS-Thomson Microelectronic to STMicroelectronic
· Develops, designs, manufactures and markets a broad range of semiconductor Integrated Circuits (ICs) and discrete devices
· Most chips it produces power consumer devices like camera, etc.
STMicroelectronics
General Info:
· Units include: Telecom, Peripherals, Automotive, Consumer and Micro controllers, Discrete and Standard ICs Group, Memory Products
· Has 3000 types of products with more than 1500 clients and supplier of MPEG-2 Decoders and Digital Set-Top Box ICs
· Discrete Power Devices – Handles greater power levels at higher voltage than ICs – used as power switches and power amplifiers
· EPROM and EPROM flash memory
· With Phillips and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co.
· Feb 2002 - Developing chips at .09 microns – one generation ahead of the most advanced technology today
· CEO Pasquale Pistorio retiring in 2005, successor – Carlo Borotti
· 2003 – Nokia represented 18% of their revenue and their largest customer
·
With Hynix Semi – Constructing a $2B memory
plant in
· STM will have a 33% stake
· Each company investing $500M and will produce DRAM, NAND
·
STM accounted for 19% of the output of
semiconductors from
· Selling its memory chips business in 2005?
· Possibly selling its unit that makes chips for digital camera and is “considering all possible options for the unit”
· Nokia is their biggest customer in 2005
· 2005:
· Will take $100M to $130M in restructuring charges due to layoffs and plant closures
· Having problems dealing with the weak dollar in 2005 and dealing with their competitors
·
Closing production on its six-inch wafers and
focusing on eight wagers – Shift production from Europe to
· 2Q2005 – Net income down 82% with poor results in its Flash Memory operation
· Gross margins in 2Q2005 were 33% - their target was 40%
· Memory chip unit has been unprofitable and currently restructuring the unit
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Recommendation
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JP Morgan |
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Prudential |
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Deutsche Sec. |
· Testing equipment for chips
· Bought GenRad for $177M – focuses on circuit board testing
· Looking to buy companies in tech technology in Flash, Optical, and broadband
· Quarterly break-even point of $460M in revenue
· 24.6% share in process testing (Agilent 37.2% market share in process tests)
Brokerage
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Recommendation
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Sentiment
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Bear Stearns |
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SG Cowen |
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AG Edwards |
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·
Texas
Instruments invented the Integrated Circuit (Headed by Jack Kilby)
·
“Monolithic integrated circuit” - the microchip
·
Semiconductors:
·
Represented 85%
of revenue in 2003
·
DSP chips
·
Educational
& Productivity Solutions
·
Sensors &
Controls
·
Sensors for
radio frequency ID, transportation, appliance, heating and air conditioning,
and electronics
·
DLP Products:
·
Makes chips for
Big Screen TV’s, and cell phones
·
Digital Signal Processors
(DSP)
·
Chip for cell
phones
·
Their chips are
in about ˝ of all the world’s phones
·
Supplied 50% of
DSP chips in 2001 through 2003
·
Started out
supplying Nokia in the 1990’s for DSP chips
·
Partnerships
with Nokia, Ericsson, NEC, Matsushita, Fujitsu, Palm, MSFT, H-P
·
“
·
Digital Light
Processing (DLP)
·
Chips for LCD
style TV’s – Launched in 2002
·
DLP’s brought
in $340M in revenue in 2003
·
Uses two
million mirrors to project images for TV screens
·
Makes “blacker”
blacks and sharper images
·
“This year
(2004) we need to get as many DLP cinemas out there as possible, Deliver one
Million TV’s, ramp up the supply chain, and get the reputation that were already
the front runner” – Dale Zimmerman – TI’s GM of TV group
·
Texas
Instruments has a 100% market share with DLP chips and over 500 patents– 2004
·
DLP chips were
in 28.1% of high definition TV sets sold in September of 2004
·
First partner
was with Samsung
·
Competition:
·
A Competing
format will be from Intel with Liquid Crystal on Silicon Panels (LCoS) - (Phillips Electronics shuttered their LCoS
chip initiative in October 2004)
·
Intel announced
they are shuttering the design of LCoS development – November 2004
·
DLP competitors
include Keyotee, Miradia and Reflectivity
·
OMAP – open
multi media-application platform
·
Working with
Nokia on developing a new single chip for phones which combines radio frequency
circuits with digital circuits which would consume less energy – Expected to be
out 2006
·
Bought
Burr-Brown for $7.6B - Maker of analog chips used in DVD's and camcorders -
Also has technology to go from analog to digital
·
Made Texas
Instruments No.2 in world behind analog devices
·
Now No. 3
supplier of amplified chips - behind National Semi, and Analog Devices
·
With Vonage –
designing software and chipsets for Internet based voice communication (VoIP) –
January 2004
·
Sold their
Sensor & controls business to Bain capital for $3B – Announced January 2006
§ TI will keep the radio
frequency unit from the Sensor and Control Business
·
Past
·
Moved out of
the disk drive business
·
In the 1990’s
they worked on technology for oil and gas explorations, educational toys, and
radar and missile systems
·
Past CEO’s CEO
Jerry Junkins died from a heart attack in 1996
·
Thomas Engibous
gave the reins to Richard Templeton
·
Thomas Engibous
had TI focus heavily on DLP chips and technology
·
Chip break
down:
·
Wireless chip
account for 20% of their revenue
·
Baseband Chips
·
Leading
supplier of “baseband” chip sets for mobile phones
·
Expects baseband
chips and surrounding electronics to account for 65% of the phone in the future
as compared to 30% today
·
Baseband chips
based on ARM Holdings chip design
·
Building a new
chip manufacturing plant in Richardson Texas expected to break ground in 2005 –
will produce cell and broadband chips
·
TI Ventures is a $160 million venture capital fund established in 1996 by
Texas Instruments Incorporated and Granite Ventures (formerly H&Q Venture
Associates)
·
Indicator of
Texas Instrument revenue growth – Look at TI’s book-to-bill ratio – Shows
orders to production shipments
·
2005:
·
First half of
2005 TI seeing sluggish demand for their TV Chips but strong demand in cell
phone chips and their 3G offerings
·
WCDMA Chips –
No.1 supplier in first half of 2005 beating out Qualcomm
·
First half 2005
– Seeing profit margins of around 47% - Goal of 50% for full year 2005
Brokerage
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Recommendation
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Sentiment
|
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Goldman Sachs |
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Lehman Brothers |
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Merrill Lynch |
Vitesse
Semiconductor (VTSS) CEO Louis Tomasetta www.vitesse.com
·
Integrated
circuits, network processors (programmable chips tweaked to process intranet
data packs)
·
Lucent is its
biggest customer
·
Nortel another
prominent customer
·
Makes chips
used in computer storage devices and in communication equipment
·
“As long as
Vitesse customers are struggling, they are figuring out how to cut costs and
not thinking strategically”
·
October 2002 –
expected to lose money in the next nine quarters
·
Has $453M in
debt due March 2005
·
October 2002 –
Has $291.5M in cash
·
Acquiring
Cicada Semiconductor for $66M - makes
integrated circuits and high speed switches – December 2003
Brokerage
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Recommendation
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Sentiment
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Smith Barney |
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Wachovia |
||
|
Schwab Soundview |
Xilinx (XLNX)
·
Makes ASIC
chips (application specific integrated circuits) programmable chips
·
Programmable
logic devices
·
Largest FPGA
maker (Field Programmable Gate Arrays)
·
Finds defects
in metal inter-connections and superior for isolating and finding flaws in
production processes
·
Reprogrammable
·
Spartan II
chips
·
Rival Altera
·
Federal Jury
found Altera’s Flex 8000 chips infringed on two of Xilinx’s patents
·
Line accounts
for only 2% of Altera’s 2000 total revenue
·
Makes ships used
in communication equipment
·
As of March
2000, has 7 months of inventory in its channel
·
With IBM –
manufacturing technology for 90nm circuitry – Claims to be superior to Intel’s
“Prescot”
·
Spartan III
chips – Has 1M gates (switching elements)
·
Toshiba is building
their new 90 nm chips for 2004/2005 in place of IBM or United Microelectronics
Amex Semiconductor Index (XSH)
Growth and Stats:
· Chip sales in 2000 grew 37% to $204B, highest growth since 1995
· 2005 will see price reductions for DRAM
Lithography:
· ASML expected to sell Immersion Tools beginning in 2006
· Technology not expected out till 2010
· Uses light instead of lenses
Standards and Technology:
Memory:
Chips Mixed Bag:
Chip used in communication equipment - Broadcom, PMC Sierra,
LSI,
Semiconductor makers tend to focus on comparisons for sequential quarters rather than year-over year comparisons
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Corp. – World’s largest contract chipmaker – Bell Weather
“Profitless prosperity” – Ram memory and disk drives
“The semiconductor industry has matured and is more tied to the economy, they will rise and fall with broad business rather than tech trends”
ASIC’s – Due to smaller and smaller circuitry, you need larger more expensive teams to build ASIC chips, and with the smaller size, the cost of the mask is also rising – People expect this to give way to the decline of ASIC and to the further rise of PLD’s (Programmable logic Devices)
Infineon – World’s 6th largest and
Chip Foundry’s – No.1 Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing,
No.2 United Microelectronics (
·
Semiconductor Manufacturing International
(SMIC) -
·
SMIC bought Motorola’s chip plant in
Via Technology – 2nd biggest seller of computer chipsets after Intel
WiFi chipmakers – Agere, Intersil, Maxim, RF Micro
Semiconductor Equipment and Material Info – Semiconductor research group
DRAM:
When’s the best time to buy and sell chip stocks?
Why does capacity linger longer today than it the past – Tech sales are being driven by replacement demand rather than new cutting edge product development in early 2000’s
65mn chips expected out in 2006 or 2007
45nm – To get to 45nm the thinking is chip manufactures will need to use Immersion Technology which use a film of water in between lenses for more precision
22nm – Will need to use Extreme Ultraviolet Lithography – EUV
Terms:
Multithreading – Circuitry and software that lets a chip carry out several instructions at the same time
Multiprocessing – Design techniques that place the equivalent of several brains, or microprocessors cores, on a single chip
Specialization – Creating special chunks of circuitry on a chip that are tuned to do one task, such as graphics
Virtualization – A technology that isolates a computer hardware form its software, so it can run multiple operating systems at once
Compartmentalization – Walling off portion of chips or computers so they cannot be attacked by computer hackers