See Time Warner below
Brokerage
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Recommendation
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Sentiment
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Bear Stearns |
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Lehman Brothers |
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Wells
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Blockbuster
Inc. (BBI)
· Viacom owns 82.3% of Blockbuster which it bought in 1994
· February 2004 – Viacom looking to sell its stake
· 5500 stores - 2004
Blockbuster Market Share
and Stats:
· Video Rental Market share
· Has a 36% market share in the rental business
· Wants a 40% market in 5 yrs
· Profit Margin:
· Rentals – 65%
· Movie Sales – 15%
· 80% of Blockbuster’s total revenue is through rentals
Blockbuster Acquisitions
and Stakes:
·
Buying
o Represents a 17% premium at $11.50 a share – Hollywood video has 1920 stores
o February 2005 – deal now valued at $991M
o Blockbuster
would control one half of the
o Blockbuster
contends that it would give them a 20% home-video market share in the
o Will
have over 6900 locations in the
o Will be facing heavy regulatory scrutiny but will claim that Wal-Mart and Costco are their competitors with their extremely low priced DVD’s
o Increased bid to $991M – February 2005 and will assume $350M in debt (Movie Gallery put in a bid for $700M)
o CALLED OFF ACQUISITION – March 2005 – Claimed too regulatory concerns
Blockbuster General Info:
· Blockbuster and the 1990’s
· In 1996 and 1997 had weak sales – management in turmoil and ill conceived push towards merchandise in stores
· Gain’s in the late 1990’s was attributed to new revenue-sharing distribution deal that increases the number of popular new tapes in Blockbuster stores
· Studios receive some revenue
· Blockbuster pays far less for movie titles than their competitors
· Had a initiative with Enron to offer Video-On-Demand with Enron
· Stopped Video-On-Demand with Enron – Right before Enron went into Chapter 11
· The new Millennium for Blockbuster:
· Fixing Blockbuster was crucial to Redstone (Viacom)
· Going after smaller rivals like Hollywood Entertainment – Has a 36% market share – wants 50%
· Tried selling Direct TV (Hughes Electronics at the time) in stores
· A New Road for Blockbuster Stores - 2000
· Will be selling VCR’s, TV sets and DVD players in most of its 5000 US stores – Blockbusters will become a consumer electronics boutique
· Why the video and TV’s? – Their rental business has hardly been growing at all in the past ten years
· In three to five years wants non-video rental to contribute about 30% to Blockbuster
· Radio Shack will operate these areas of the store
· January 2001 – Totally scraped the idea
· In 1980’s cost per movie $22-$25 – now all less than $20
· CEO John Antioco:
· Became CEO in 1997
· Blockbuster isn’t going to compete on cost. “What we are about is convenience and selection. “ – John Antioco
·
Blockbuster outside of the
·
Closing its stores in Hong Kong by 2005 – claims
pirated copies too cheap to deal with and high operating costs in
·
Blockbuster failed in
· “The market dynamics of home video have been significantly and permanently been altered, the rental market is 7% to 8% smaller today die to movie studios pricing DVD’s cheaply” – John Antioco – he expects the rental market to suffer another couple of percentage point declines in 2004 then leveling off in 2005
· Dropped the hated late fee – January 2005 – Late fees would have contributed between $250M to $300M in revenue for 2005
· Blockbuster Online: Movies-by-Mail
· Online/home delivery service similar to Netflicks
·
Will be able to integrate the mail order service
with the convenience of its 5500 stores in the
· Wants to have 2M subscribers by 2006
· Enrolled 750,000 in the first seven months starting in 2004 – was only expecting 250,000
· Online/Delivery operations have proven to be costly from an operations stand point – Blockbuster has been undercutting Netflicks pricing since its launch and continuing in 2005
· By 2008, CEO John Antioco wants the online operations to be 30% of revenue
· Growth:
· Expects video rental sales to decline 3% a year from 2005
· From 2001 to 2004 – Sales down 17%
· Enter Carl Icahn – April 2005
· Carl Icahn trying to oust CEO John Antioco from Blockbusters board. Icahn wanted Antioco to pay dividends to shareholders and delay the election date for new candidates for the board. Antioco denied his request now Icahn is looking for his removal in the interest of the shareholders
· Mr. Icahn controls 8.6% of the voting shares of Blockbuster and gained a seat on the board along with two other dissent shareholders favorable to Mr. Icahn - May 2005
Brokerage
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Recommendation
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Sentiment
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Morgan Stanley |
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UBS |
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Deutsche Securities |
Cablevision Systems (CVC) CEO James Dolan Bethpage, NY http://www.cablevision.com/
·
6th largest
·
Serves 3M households in
· Units:
· Rainbow Media Holdings (RMG) – Rainbow Programming
· Operates programming businesses including AMC, WE (Women’ s Entertainment), The Independent Film Channel (IFC) and other national and regional services
· Rainbow is a 50 percent partner in Fox Sports Net
· Unit spun-off September 2004 – was once a tracking stock
· Rainbow DBS
· Voom
· Rainbow Developing
· Fuse, Fox National Sports, Metro Channels
· Regional Sport network
·
60% interest in Fox Sports Ohio,
·
Cablevision also owns a controlling interest and
operates
·
Operates
Cablevision Stakes and Divestitures:
· Sold the Bravo channel to NBC in 2002 for $1.25B
·
Buying News Corp’s 40% stake in Madison Square
Garden’s,
· News Corp will get Cablevision’s 60% stake in Fox Sport Net and two regional sport networks
· Sold Rainbow Satellite to EchoStar for $200M
Cablevision General Info:
·
Cable subscribers – Has 4.4M subscribers in
· Broadband Subscribers:
· 1.4M subscribers – almost one-third of its subscribers have broadband access – May 2005
· 1.6M – end of 2005
· Phone subscribers 601,00 – end of 2005
· Voom – Satellite TV Business
· Launched in 2003
· Subscribers
· 25,000 – June 2004
· End of 2004 – 26,000
· Voom lost $75.3M in 3Q2004 alone
· Voom lost a total of $661.4M in 2004
· Selling Most of Voom to EchoStar for $200M – January 2005
· Voom’s satellites cost $250M to build and launch and has 16 years left in orbit
· Charles Dolan buying the remaining assets of Voom which include 21 hi-def channels, including satellite licensing and customer agreements
· Will be leasing capacity on EchoStar’s satellites
· Deal has now collapsed and Cablevision will shutter the remaining assets of Voom – Announced March 2005
· April 2005 – Charles Dolan finally succeeded to pressure and dropped bid for Voom and agreed to shutter the unit
· Cancelled plans to spin-off Voom – Now may possible shutter the unit of look for a buyer – January 2005
· Recording a $100M to $130M loss on the shutdown of Voom – Announced June 2005
· Phone Subscribers:
· 70,800 - May 2004
· 115,000 – September 2004
· 364,000 – May 2005
· Offering VOIP as a new growth initiative from 2004 going forward
· Bundling cable with unlimited local and long distance phone service
· Company controlled by the Dolan Family
· Thomas Dolan – CEO of Rainbow
· James Dolan – CEO of Cablevision
· Charles Dolan (The Father) – Was Chairman of Cablevision but stepped down in 2004 – Now chairman of Rainbow – One of the founders of HBO
· Dolan family controls 71% of Cablevision’s voting stock (Was 76% in the early 2000’s) and 20% of common stock
· Charles Dolan bought The Wiz Electronic retailers for $60M, put in $200M in operations and then had to liquidate it in 2003
· SEC investigation in AMC movie channel – 2003
· Found 6.2M in improper marketing expenses that were booked in 2002 instead of 2003
· In 2003 cablevision restated financial results for five quarters on 2002 and 2003 with $13M in accounting irregularities
· Executive Exodus:
· September 2004 – Three senior execs left, the controller, executive vice president and division controller for cable operations
· Cablevision rumored to be putting itself up on the auction block – March 2005
· March 2005 Board Room Shuffle:
·
Charles Dolan rearranged the makeup of the board
of Directors for Cablevision and replaced three of them, including John Malone
of
· New board agreed to Charles Dolan’s purchase of Voom
· April 2005 – Charles Dolan finally succeeded to pressure and dropped bid for Voom and agreed to shutter the unit
· Cablevision going private?. Announced June 2005.
· Dolan Family taking Cablevision private in a $7.9B deal
· Will still spin off Rainbow Media Holdings (Network Channels, Sport Teams, MSG, etc.)
· Cox Cable (Cox Enterprises) went private in 2004
· Benefits of going private:
· Cablevision will be able to take on more debt and make long term plans instead of appeasing Wall Street on a quarterly basis
· Will help them fend off threats from the teleco’s offering of TV and broadband
· Plan to take them private was halted
· New plan to pay shareholders roughly $10 a share in a special dividend for a total around $3 billion
· Cablevision was facing higher interest rates on its debt which would have made them one of the most highly leveraged cable companies in the U.S.
· CEO Michael Jordan (will leave in 4yrs when he’s 65) Pres. Mel Karmazin
·
Formerly Westinghouse
·
Westinghouse bought CBS back in 1995 and renamed
name CBS
·
Sold off chunks of Westinghouse unit to go for a
pure-play media concern – selling its nuclear –power business and smaller
government operations unit to Morrison Knudson and British Nuclear Fuels Ltd.
·
Bought out by Viacom (VIAB)
Brokerage
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Recommendation
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Sentiment
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Morgan Stanley |
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Bear Stearns |
||
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AG Edwards |
Charter
Communication (CHTR) CEO Robert May
· Fourth largest cable operator
· Controlled by Paul Allen of Microsoft fame
· Has 6.6M cable subscribers - 2004
· 6.0M cable subscribers – June 2005
· 23,000 telephony subscribers
· Has a debt load of $18B – March 2004
· In 2004 – has too much debt load for its current cash flow
· Company seen as only being able to handle $14B in debt with its current EBITDA
· Due to capital constraints – Unable to grow operations like their competitors such as VoIP or video on demand
· Jan 2005 - $19B in debt
· In 2001 – Charter was accused of improper accounting and bogus subscriber counts
· Paul Allen:
· Paul Allen, co-founder of Microsoft bought Charter in 1999 for $7.5 billion.
· He remains Chairman of Charter Communications
· Charter CEO Succession:
· Carl Vogel, CEO from September 2001 to January 2005
· Mr. Vogel was said to always be mad that Charter’s Chairman, Paul Allen, didn’t invest enough money into Charter or help relieve its heavy debt
· New CEO Neil Smit
· Mr. May was head of AOL’s access business and replaced interim CEO Robert May who held that position from January 2005 to August 2005
· 2005:
· Lost 125,000 cable subscribers during the first three quarters of fiscal 2005
· Failed to make 1Q2005 dividend payments on its preferred stock
· Charter has failed to reach their subscriber goals for 10 of the past 11 quarters ending in March of 2005
· Charter lost 83,100 cable subscribers in 4Q2004 making its worst loss ever
· Whay has Charter been stumbling?
· Their cable operations are spread thinly over 39 states and include many rural areas that at the time are favoring satellite TV.
Brokerage
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Recommendation
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Sentiment
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Smith Barney |
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Goldman Sachs |
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Schwab Soundview |
Clear Channel Communications (CCU)
· Nations largest radio group, broadcaster, concert promoter, and operator of concert venues
· Largest Spanish-language radio group and billboard in US
· 1233 radio stations in 280 markets
· Next biggest competitor – Cumulus Media with a total of 260 stations
Clear Channel Acquisitions and Stakes:
· Acquired Eller Media for $1.07B in 1997
· Became Clear Channel’s Outdoor Advertising Unit
· Acquired JCOR for $2.8B in 1998
· Merged with Chancellor Media Group (AMFM) for $23.8B ($17.4B) in 1999
·
Needed to sell 99 radio stations in 27 markets
to satisfy FCC regulations
·
Needed to sell its 29% stake in Lamar
advertising
·
Assets included Outdoor Advertising and Capstar
Advertising
·
Chancellor
was biggest pure play radio concern controlled by Hick Muse Tate at the time
· Acquired SFX Broadcasting in 2000 for $4.5B
· With SFX, Clear Channel obtained their dominant concert promotion division
·
Acquired Ackerly Group for $497M – 18 TV
stations including five
·
Has a 4.6% stake in XM Satellite
·
·
Entering
·
Will bring concert and other
Clear Channel General Info:
·
Has 37 TV stations in throughout the
·
Radio:
· Nations largest radio group, largest Spanish-language radio group with roughly 1233 stations in 280 markets
·
Can only own 8 stations in a market but can form
local marketing agreements and joint sales agreements with other stations
·
Their radio profit margins are between 40% to
45%
· Has equity investments in over 240 radio stations overseas
· Converting at least 20 of their station into Spanish stations from 2004 to 2006
· Clear Channel currently has 18 Spanish stations and will compete against Univision’s 68 Spanish speaking stations
·
Advertising:
·
Clear Channel controls 10% of the nation’s total
advertising and 20% of the industry’s advertising revenue
· Entertainment Division:
· Clear Channel is the No.1 Concert Promoter – No.2 AEG (Anshutz), No.3 House of Blues Entertainment
· Unit began in 2000 with the acquisition of SFX Broadcasting (Entertainment)
· Concert division profit margins are between 8% to 12% and have high expenses
· Early to mid 2000’s – Concert Division has been a drain on the company and poor performer
· Why has it been a poor performer?
· Major PR problems with Artists and the public as being perceived as a monopoly and too much dominance along with a major increases in ticket prices for concerts during the early 2000’s when money was tight more mush of their audience
· To get around this problem, Clear Channel will stop advertising its name in its venue’s and promotions but use the name of the local promoters it bought out in the past
· Spun off its Entertainment division CCE (CCE Spinco, Inc) – December 2005 – (LYV)
· CEO Succession:
· L. Lowry Mays and founder of Clear Channel, replaced by his son Mark P. Mays – 2004
· Mays family owns 6% to 7% of Clear Channel stock
· April 2005 – Announced they’d be spinning off their entertainment division (Clear Channel Entertainment) in an IPO along with 10% of their Outdoor advertising Unit
· Justice Department has two different investigations regarding its practices radio and concert business activities
· Announced they increase their dividend by 50% plus give shareholders a onetime $3 per share special dividend
· Hicks, Muse, Tate selling its 7% stake in Clear Channel – Announced May 2005
· Being acquired by Thomas H. Lee Partners and Bain Capital Partners.
Brokerage
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Recommendation
|
Sentiment
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Merrill Lynch |
||
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Prudential |
||
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Morgan Stanley |
Comcast (CMCSK) (CCZ) (CMCSA)
·
Divisions:
Cable, Commerce, Content
·
No.1
cable company in the
·
Was once
the No. 3 cable company - AT&T
broadband 16.1M subscribers, TWX has 12.8M, Comcast 8.5M – 2000
·
Comcast’s cable reach - Reaches one in five
·
Has three different classes of stock
· Controlled by the Roberts Family – has a 2% economic interest with 86% voting power
· Brain Roberts controls 33.3% of the voting shares himself - 2007 figure.
·
Content
– QVC TV Retailer, E! Entertainment (51%), The Golf Channel (99%), Outdoor Life
(100%), Speedvision, Comcast Sportsnet, Comcast Sports Southeast, In Demand,
Sunshine Network, Style (50%), G4 (94%), TV One (40%)
·
Spectacor
–
|
|
Comcast
Acquisitions and Stakes:
·
Tried to
acquire Media One in March of 1999 with a bid of $8.63B – AT&T outbid –
their offer was $54B – AT&T sold them 2M subscribers so their merger with
Media One would go through
·
15%
stake in Sprint PCS
·
Owns a
controlling stake in
·
MSFT has
invested over $1B in Comcast
·
Majority
owner of the
·
Comcast
and AT&T Broadband
·
Bid
$44.5B for AT&T Broadband – Summer of 2001
·
Buying
Reduced to $30B – November 2002 – Ended up paying $50.1M
·
Initial
called the venture AT&T Comcast and had 27M subscribers combined when
announced
· AT&T Comcast will have 28.9% of the nations pay-TV market
· Comcast will get $2.1B in cash and $1.5B in AOL stock
· Comcast took over $20B in AT&T Broadband’s debt – will have total debt load of $30B
·
AT&T
Comcast broadband margin – 23% - a little over half of the cable industries
average
· AT&T broadband’s operating margin – 20% - one of the industry’s lowest - 2003
·
Will
have no free cash flow in 2003 due to merger but will once again produce it in
2004
·
Expecting to grow 20% a year EBITDA for
2002-2006
·
Three companies now control more than 65% of the
·
Stake in
Time Warner Entertainment:
·
Having
to place its 26% stake in Time Warner Entertainment (Cable) in an irrevocable
trust – Received from AT&T Broadband
· January 2004 – selling its now 17.9% stake in Time Warner Cable
·
Sold its
57% majority stake in QVC to Liberty Media for around $8B – October 2003
·
Submitted
unsolicited $48.7B offer for Walt Disney – February 2004 – a 7% premium –
February 2004
·
Combined
companies would have $45B in annual revenue
· The 7% premium was basically erased after the second day the news broke of the merger and now considered to give shareholders the idea that “if you’re unhappy with Mr. Eisner, let us run your company” – WSJ
· May 2004 – DROPPED BID
· Buying Tech TV from Paul Allen for around $300 – April 2004
· Tech TV is in 43M homes and will merge in into Comcast’s G4 video game network
·
Sold its
· Comcast and Time Warner submitting a joint bid for Adelphia Cable – Comcast offering between $1B-$2B plus its 26% stake in Time Warner Entertainment – Announced February 2005
· Bid for Adelphia is $17.6B – April 2005
·
Adelphia is in Chapter 11 and has roughly 5M
cable subscribers making it the fifth largest cable company in the
· E! Entertainment Channel – Comcast owns 51% of the company while Disney owns the other 49%
Comcast Stats:
·
21.5M
subscribers in 41 states – March 2005
·
Digital
Subscribers:
·
6.3M
digital cable subscribers – July 2003
·
July
2003 - 30% of its subscribers are digital subscribers
·
July
2004 – 37.5% of its subscribers digital
·
Broadband
Subscribers:
·
1.3M -
November 2002
·
3.62M -
4Q2002
·
3.3M -
July 2003
· 6.5M - October 2004
· 7.4M – April 2005
· Telecom subscribers:
· 1.3M – July 2003
· 1.22M – Full year 2004
· Goal of 8M by end of 2005
· Cable subscriber growth reached a plateau in 2005
Comcast General
Info:
·
Started in 1963 as a family business in
·
Top markets are
· Markets Excite at Home, Comcast at Home
·
In-Demand
Pay-per-view video-on-demand service – Owned by Comcast, Time Warner, and Cox
·
Investment
grade crisis in 2003:
·
To
maintain its investment grade rating, Comcast needed to reduce its debt by $4B
and increase its cash flow by the end of 2003
· Stephen Burke – Hired in June 1998 to run Comcast’s Cable Systems
· Was at Walt Disney for 12 years and ran three division in his tenure
· Launched Disney stores and turned around Euro Disney, was the President of ABC Broadcasting
· Father, Daniel Burke - CEO of Capital Cities, Uncle James Burke - former CEO of J&J
· Phone Service:
· Looking to provide Voice over IP (VOIP) in late 2004 – Broad launch in 2005
· Video On Demand:
· Set-Top Boxes:
· March 2005 – Strengthened its alliance with Motorola and pledged to buy up to $1B in Motorola Digital Set-top boxes and will create a joint venture together to develop new access technology and will license it together
· Wall Street still considers Comcast a growth company with revenue growth of 10% year and strong cash flow in the double digits – 2004/2005 sentiment
· Repurchasing $2B worth of stock – Announced July 2004
· Brian Roberts Vision – Wants to increase Comcast’s ownership of content
· 2Q2004 – Lost 96,000 cable subscribers
· With Sony - 2004
· Comcast is purchasing about 4B a year in content making it the world’s largest purchaser of content in 2004
· Comcast’s next frontier – Video phone, Video Chat, Interactive TV, Interactive Advertising
· CEO Brian Roberts
· “We no longer need to grow for growth’s stake” – September 2004
· See the future of TV with DVR and massive hours of storable programming as “Nirvana”
· On Broadband – “This product reminds all of us of cable TV in the beginning…once you have it you can’t go back” – 2004
· Fiber Initiative:
· Will lease 19,000 miles of fiber from Level 3 under a 20 year $100M deal connecting 95% of Comcast customers to video on demand and other fiber initiatives – Announced December 2004
· Plan to use fiber for On-demand video, etc.
· “We’re trying to go all services, all devices, one network” – Comcast CTO David Fellows – December 2004
· Wireless and Comcast:
· “It’s no secret that we are exploring wireless operations with other cable operators and a variety of wireless companies” – CEO Brian Roberts – May 2005
· Would love to be able to bundle wireless, broadband , cable, phone and TV
· Developing a rival to ESPN (Walt Disney) – Announced July 2005
· Possible plans to transform its Outdoor Life Network into the new sports based network
· ESPN pulls in roughly $1B a year in cash flow for Disney
· Comcast will first focus on obtaining NHL rights that ESPN let expire in 2005
DirecTV
Group (DTV)
Formerly called Hughes Electronics – See Below for Historic Info
DirecTV’s three operating groups:
·
DirecTV
· Subscribers:
· 12.6M – March 31, 2004
· 13M – June 2004
· No.1 DBSTV service provider and No.2 MVPD provider
· Currently eight satellites – 2004
· 13.94M - End of 2004
· 14.5M – June 2005
· Churn
· 1.67% - 3Q2004
·
DirecTV Latin
·
Operates in South America,
· DLLA LLC – 86% owned by DirecTV – Has 16 subsidiaries
· Has 1.5M subscribers in 28 countries
·
Hughes Network
Systems (HNS)
· Directway
· Satellite-based Internet access service
· 180,000 subscribers - 2003
· Spaceway – out 2005
· Looking to sell the unit but having difficulties finding a buyer in 2004
DirecTV General Info:
·
Spending $1B
from 2004 to 2007 purchase three Boeing Satellites
·
Launching two
satellites in 2005 with the third being kept for spare parts
·
Spaceway
·
Internet via
Satellite for consumers
·
Using two
Boeing 702 satellites
·
Shuttered
Spaceway initiative for Internet connection though using the satellites for
High Def TV
·
Partnership with
Verizon and Bell South to supply Sat TV to their customers
·
DirecTV is not
expected to generate free cash flow until 2006 due to its massive capital
expenditures inherent with new satellites, marketing, and other pushes into
interactive services
·
Wants to have
15M subscribers by the end of 2006
·
Consolidating
Latin and
·
Paying $579M to
consolidate and acquire its competitors Grupo Televisa (
·
Will now have
3.4M subscribers - wants 5M in three to
five years from 2004
·
Buying News
Corps.
·
Will shut down
its Mexican Operations
·
NFL – Football
licensing deal
· NFL’s Sunday Ticket – Deal valued at $3.5B through 2010
· “The big monster s DirecTV’s deal with the NFL…we’re the ones who should be complaining” – CEO of Timer Warner, Richard Parson’s – April 2005
· Liberty Media controls a 40% stake of DirecTV Group.
Brokerage
|
Recommendation
|
Sentiment
|
|
Smith Barney |
||
|
JP Morgan |
||
|
Deutsche Sec. |
EchoStar (DISH) Littleton, CO CEO Charles Ergen www.echostar.com
·
Two
units: Dish Network and EchoStar
Technology Corp (ETC)
·
Subscribers
·
8.2M
subscribers to its Dish Network – No. 2 satellite – 4Q2002 (Comcast 21.3M,
DirecTV 11.2M, TWX 10.9M)
·
9.5M
subscribers – March 2004
·
10.1M –
June 2004 with churn rate of 1.71%
·
11.3M –
May 2005
·
Subscriber
acquisition cost:
· $56.11 – 3Q2004
·
Vivendi
owns a 10% stake in EchoStar
·
Charles
Ergen – Ergen family controls 90% of the voting share of EchoStar
·
Tried to
acquiring Hughes Electronics – Has 12M subscribers
·
Justice
Department and FCC rejected its $18B takeover of Hughes on antitrust
·
No
longer trying to acquire Hughes
·
Concentrating
on 60 metropolitan area representing 65% of the
·
Joining
with SES Global to offer residential Internet access
·
EchoStar
will lease all the capacity of SES satellites that will launch in 2004
·
Submitted
$1.8B bid to acquire Loral Space and Communication – Loral currently in Chapter
11 – October 2003
·
TiVo
suing EchoStar over patents Digital Video Recorder technology
·
“The
name of the game for EchoStar is subscriber acquisition” SES CEO Roman Bausch –
March 2004
·
Cost to
acquire a new subscriber, $604 – May 2004
·
·
Buying
Voom from Cablevision for $200M –January 2005 – See Cablevision above
·
Satellite
Internet Access:
·
Banned
from broadcasting local sports and broadcasts outside the “home area.” Ruling
by Federal District Judge in
Brokerage
|
Recommendation
|
Sentiment
|
|
Smith Barney |
||
|
JP Morgan |
||
|
|
|
|
Gemstar – TV Guide
International (GMST)
(GMSTE)
·
Formed through
the merger of Gemstar International Group and TV Guide in July of 2000
Gemstar’s Three
Units:
·
Technology
and Licensing Sector:
·
Interactive
Program guides – GUIDE Plus+ and TV Guide Interactive
·
VCR+,
Gemstar eBook
·
Interactive
Platform Sector:
·
Manages
recurring income from their proprietary interactive devices such as TV Guide
Interactive and Guide Plus+, TV Guide Online and Gemstar eBook
·
Media
and Services Sector:
·
Operates
TV Guide Magazines, TV Guide Channel, TVG Network
Gemstar General Info:
·
Interactive
TV – Has intellectual property rights to the electronic programming guide
·
Controls
the patents behind the scrolling TV guide on cable channels
·
Gemstar
eBook
·
Leading
promoter of electronic books (e-books)
·
Owns
Softbook Press and Nuvo Media – makes e-book devices
·
News
Corp. has a 43% stake in Gemstar – News Corp has written off $6B in Gemstar
·
Founder
and Chairman Henry Yuen resigned November 2002 – Succeeded by Jeff Shell
·
Forced
to resign from pressure from News Corp.
·
Yuen
tried to protect Gemstar’s patents buy suing tons of companies on patent
infringement but these were the same companies that Gemstar needed to do
business with, instead it acted as a bridge burner
·
Pleaded
guilty to Felony obstruction of Federal Securities Anti-trust for over stating
revenue from 1999 through 2002. Received
only six months of home detention and a $250,000 fine. – September 2005
·
Gemstar’s
SEC problems:
·
Company
expected to charged with civil fraud from the SEC – January 2004
·
KPMG paying Gemstar shareholders $11M in
restitution
·
Licensing
its programming guide to EchoStar for $190M and thus ending their patent
dispute that began in 2000 – March 2004
·
Selling
its Superstar/Netline Group UUTV distribution and space communication units to
EchoStar for $48M
·
“Gemstar’s
stock is an option on the growth of digital TV worldwide” – Morris Mark – Mark
Asset Management
·
CEO Jeff
Shell – Former exec at News Corp.
·
Shell
instituted a new focus on mending relationships that Gemstar (with Yuen) sued
and has formed licensing deals
·
First
large deal was with Comcast – Comcast “completes our transition from enemy of
the cable world to friend of the cable world” – CEO Jeff Shell
·
Upside
for Gemstar - Its licensing deals
·
TV Guide
circulation topped out at $19M in the late 1980’s
·
TV Games
Network – Offers Internet wagering on Horse Races
·
Plans to
launch service that allows betting through a remote control
·
New
partnerships with Matsushita (Panasonic) and Sony for Interactive program
guides
·
Working
with Comcast with development of interactive guides for set-top boxes – 2004
·
New
Concept of 2005 – Launched July 2005
·
Transformed
TV Guide into a larger full size format and focusing more on entertainment,
lifestyle and celebrity
·
TV Guide
has had a much older audience and they want to focus on younger readers with
this format change
·
Currently
has a circulation guarantee of 9M in 2005 but with new format will reduce that
by one-third
·
Will now
guarantee circulation rates of 3.2M with the new format
·
Will no
longer supply TV Guide to hotels
·
At its
peak, TV guide had a circulation of 19.7M in 1975
·
Scaling
back it listings to 25% of the magazine with features representing 75% of the
magazine
·
Previously
had 140 different version of TV Guide
will now just have an eastern and pacific time zone version
·
Expecting
to have roughly 4.5M subscribers
·
Sold its
SkyMall unit, which they bought in 2001, for $52M – In-flight catalogs
Hicks, Muse, Tate,
& Furst CEO Thomas Hicks (One
of Texas biggest tycoons in
· Leveraged Buyout Firm
· National network of Radio, TV outlets, and possible billboards
·
· Simon & Schuster reference business
· Viacom International for $885M, Evergreen Media for $2.4B SFX Broadcasting for $2.0
· Acquired Lin TV for $1.9B
· Capstar Broadcasting in 96’ for $3.2B
· Later sold to Clear Channel
· New venture fund guaranteeing a 20% annual return
Hughes Electronic
Corporation (NWS)
(GMH)
·
Now
Called DirecTV (Acquired by News Corp)– see DirecTV above
·
Digital
TV entertainment, broadband service, satellite-based private business networks,
and global video and data broadcasting
Hughes Electronic
four main units:
Hughes Electronics
Acquisitions and Divestitures:
·
Bought Telocity for $180M – broadband internet
service provider
·
Sold
their set-top box manufacturing to Thomson for $250M – May 2004
·
Selling
PanAmSat to Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co. for $3.55B – April 2004
·
Selling
Hughes Network Systems (HNS) – Expected to fetch $1.5B
·
Direct
TV sold its 4% stake in TiVo – June 2004
Hughes Electronic
General Info:
·
GM owned 70% Hughes - The earnings of Hughes
Electronics were used to calculate the earnings attributable to the General
Motors Class H common stock (NYSE GMH)
· In 1996 AT&T tried to market DirecTV to its 90 million customers, only drew about 50,000 takers – sold its 2.6% stake back in Dec. 1997
· DirecTV – Long term marketing deal with w/ Bell Atlantic and SBC Communications
·
Has 65% of North American satellite broadcasting
market
·
Rival EchoStar
·
12M subscribers at the end of 2001
·
4Q2002 – 11.2M
·
End of 2003 – 12M
·
Marketing
DirecTV in
·
Hughes
as a Target of Acquisition:
·
News
Corp and EchoStar both trying to take control of Hughes
·
EchoStar
tried to acquire for $18B – original price was $25.8B
·
Would
have been the nation’s most dominant satellite TV Broadcaster
·
Transaction
would have been a reverse merger
·
Major
scrutiny from US Antitrust regulatory officials – may block the merger
·
FCC and
Justice Department rejected the take-over on grounds of antitrust
·
Deal
completely scrubbed
·
GM is willing
to sell Hughes only if it is a tax-free transaction – tax-free transactions
usually take a much longer time to complete
·
April
2003 – Enter News Corp.
· News Corp. acquiring a 31.4% stake in Hughes Electronics for $6.6B
· Approved by both boards April 9, 2003
· Acquiring the 20% owned by GM and 14.1% owned by the public
· Now will be the No.2 pay-TV service provider to US households behind Comcast
·
Direct TV had 11.2M subscribers ending 4Q2002
·
News Corp. wants to design and launch a new
generation of satellite as early as 2006 and no later than 2008
·
Will be called DirecTV group
·
Shut
down its broadband initiative
·
CEO succession:
·
Michael Smith replaced by Chase Carey
·
New CEO
Chase Carey want to has 15M subscribers by 2006
·
DirecTV
Latin
·
Spaceway
Project - $1.5B internet via satellite venture – also will help distribute
DirecTV broadcasts
·
Currently
two satellites are projected to be in use – First satellite will begin limited
service in 2004
·
Launched
a new satellite in May of 2004 with the aim to increase local TV coverage for
subscribers
·
Subscriber
goals:
·
Looking
for a 25% increase in satellite subscribers from 2004 to 2007
·
Direct
TV wants $15M subscribers by the end of 2006
·
Upgrading
their digital video recording ability for its subscribers with new set top
boxes
Brokerage
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Recommendation
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Sentiment
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Prudential |
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JP Morgan |
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Deutsche Securities |
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·
Chairman John Malone – Controls 44% of
· Was once a wholly owned subsidiary of AT&T (from the TCI acquisition)
o Was a tracking stock of AT&T’s
o August
2001 - AT&T spun off
· Three Segment: International, Interactive (Includes QVC), and Networks
o Completely spun off International division June 2004
·
Has stakes in AOL (4%) Corus Entertainment
(17%), Court TV (50%), Crown Media (13%), Discovery Communications (50%), DMX
Music (56%), E! Entertainment (10%), Flextech Limited UK (25%), Game Show
Network (50%), International Channel (90%), Jupiter Programming – Japan (50%),
MacNeil/Lehrer Productions (67%), News Corp. (18), On Command Hotel Movie
Service (100%), Pramer Argentina (100%), Premium Movie Partnership Australia
(20%), QVC (42%), Starz/Encore (100%) Torneos y Competencias
·
·
Has cable assets in
·
Biggest shareholder of United Global
Communications – Major cable TV (largest) and Telephone Co. in
·
25% stake in TeleWest Communications (
·
Wants it to merge with NTL - #1 in
· Owns 25% of Telemundo station group and 50% of the network
·
Telemundo is restructuring and after its done,
· Has a 20% stake in USA Networks, 4% stake in AOL TWX (Has limited voting rights and a cap on how much they can own)
·
International Stakes Include:
· Interactive Group includes: Ascent Media (100%), TruePosition (89%), On Command (66%), QVC (42%), OpenTV(35%), InterActive Corp (20%)
· Stake in United Pan-European Communications (UPC) – 70% stake (around $1.5B)
·
Owns 50% of Jupiter Telecommunications –
·
50% stake in Princes Holdings, 1% of 360
Networks
·
·
Liberty Media owns 12.5% but has a 85% voting
stake
·
Buying the rest of Liberty Satellite
· Buying Dutch cable operator Casema for $733M - Has 1.3M subscribers
· Deal fell through
· Discover other shareholders are Cox Communication and Advance/Newhouse (the Newhouse family)
· Acquiring a majority stake in QVC from Comcast for around $8B – August 2003
· Has a 20% stake in Barry Diller’s IAC/Interactive Corp.
· Stake in News Corp.:
· Has the second largest voting stake in News Corp
· Had an 17% non voting stake – technically the biggest shareholder
· 9.1% voting position – Sold some voting stock – once had 18% stake in their non-voting stock – January 2004
· (The Murdock family has a 30% stake in News Corps voting stock
· Increased its right to be able to raise their voting stake in News Corp. to 17% - November 2004
·
· Now increased stake to 18% of the voting stake – January 2005
· Converting its non-voting stock to voting shares – Hypothetically they can raise to voting stake to 50% but that would set off a poison pill and will dilute their interest
·
Sold its E! Entrainment and the International
Channel stake to Comcast while Comcast transfers its 10% stake
·
Bought Provide Commerce (Proflowers.com) for
$477M – December 2005
·
Buyseasons
– Online costumes
·
40%
stake in DirecTV Group.
·
Has a controlling
stake in Backcountry.com
·
Bobybuilder.com – bought Bodybuilder.com for
roughly $100M
· Acquiring six German cable TV operators from Deutsch Telecom for $4.7B
· Will give them 10M subscribers
· Cable subscribers:
·
Looking to get 18M subscribers in
·
Has 13M subscribers in
·
Will make them the biggest cable company in
·
Will become the “Toll Gate” to
·
In order to go through,
· 20% of western Europe homes subscribe to satellite TV
·
·
TeleWest Communication –
· Indirectly controls United Pan Europe through its 70% stake in UPC parent
·
Liberty General Info:
· Owns Starz and Encore movie channel
· Starz has 13.2M subscribers/homes – Encore 21M subscribers/homes
·
Malone expects
·
Claims skyrocketing programming costs and combined
legal battles with Comcast are lowering their operating income for the
· Dividing into three operating areas – International Cable, US Programming, Interactive Operations
· Malone – felt he was “screwed royally” the last time he sold an asset – he sold TCI to AT&T in 1999
·
Buying
· Spun off its International operations – Liberty Media International: (LBTYA) (LBTYB) – June 2004
·
“There are certain assets within
·
·
Court TV – Time Warner has right to buy
· January 2005 – Restructuring plan:
·
· Will be run by Michael Fries – Was CEO of UGC
· John Malone on his sale of TCI to AT&T – “Absolutely” a mistake - March 2005
· Spinning off 50% of Discovery Communications – Announced March 2005
· New CEO Gregory Maffel
· In a legal dispute with IAC/InteractiveCorp.. Lawsuits were filed January 2008.
Brokerage
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Recommendation
|
Sentiment
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Goldman Sachs |
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CSFB |
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Smith Barney |
News Corp (NWS) Sydney, AUS Rupert Murdoch http://www.newscorp.com/
· Filmed Entertainment: 20th Century Fox, Fox Searchlight Pictures, Fox Studios. Fox Television Studios
·
Television: BSkyB, FOX Broadcasting, Fox Sports
· Owns 35 US TV stations
·
Cable – Fox News, Fox Sports, FX, Fox Movie
Channel, National Geographic Channel, SPEED Channel,
· Magazines & Inserts: InsideOut, donna hay, News America Marketing, SmartSource, The Weekly Standard, Gemstar – TV Guide International, Maximum Golf
· Books – Harper Collins, Regan Books, Zondervan
· Newspapers – New York Post, The Times, The Sun, The Sunday Times, Post-courier, Herald Sun, News of the World, , The Australian, The Daily Telegraph 175 total
· Other – WebMD, National Rugby League, Broadsystem, Festival Records, fox Interactive, Mushroom Records, NDS, News Interactive, News Outdoor, Nursery World
News Corp Acquisitions and Stakes and Divestitures:
· Owns 85.3% of Fox Entertainment
· Fox Entertainment with Cablevision owns up to $3.29B in cable broadcasting
·
Owns Fox Sports Net New
· March 2005 – Buying the rest of Fox that it doesn’t own at a $6.2B offer
· Has a 49.5% stake in Fox Family Worldwide with Saban having the other 49.5%
· Sold TV Guide to Gemstar International – later reacquired with the acquisition of Gemstar.
· The deal was later viewed as a poor and expensive acquisition for News Corp.
· Gemstar:
· Talking about a stock swap with Liberty Media’s Chairman John Malone stake in Gemstar-TV Guide – Murdoch would give the shares to Sky Global Networks
· News Corp owned 42.6% of Gemstar
· News Corp has written off $6B in Gemstar – April 2004
· Received stake from selling TV guide in 1998 to an affiliate of TCI (Tele-Communications) for $2B – TCI later merged with Gemstar
·
Sky Global Networks - Satellite holdings –
· ESPN Star Sports – 50% stake
·
· Sky Italia – Italian Satellite TV
· In China:
· 8.5% stake in Netease.com (Chinese portal), 12% stake in Renren.com (Chinese community web site), 12% stake in SinoBit.com (Portal to link entrepreneurs and investors online), 50% stake in Chinabyte.com (with People’s Daily Newspaper – focus on high-tech)
· Has controlling stake in NDS – Plc – makes smart cards for running set-top boxes
· Bought 10 TV stations from Chris Craft Industries for $5.35B
· Sold the Dodgers baseball team to Frank McCourt for around $375M including the stadium – News Corp bought the Dodgers for $311M – October 2003
· Acquired Italian Telepiv – Pay TV
· DirecTV - Acquired a 31.4% stake in Hughes Electronics (DirecTV, PanAmSat) for $6.6B - 2003
· Approved by both boards April 9, 2003
· Acquired the 20% owned by GM and 14.1% owned by the public
· Now will be the No.2 pay-TV service provider to US households behind Comcast
· DirecTV had 11.2M subscribers ending 4Q2002
· DirecTV had a churn rate of 20% in 2002 and 2003
· Expecting DirecTV subscriber growth to grow from 12M in 2003 to 20M by the end of 2009
· Will give News Corp. a total of 22M subscribers
· DirecTV will continue to finance and build its own satellite fleet and doesn’t want to lease capacity
·
Looking to sell PanAmSat – April 2004
·
News Corp cannot buyout the rest of DirecTV that
it doesn’t own due to a tax related agreement with GM
·
Growth of DirecTV has gradually faded after the acquisition.
·
Sold its DirecTV stake to Liberty Media.
·
Intermix media (Myspace.com)
for $580M – July 2005
·
Acquired Intermix media for $580M when announced
– July 2005
·
Final acquisition price was $650 million.
·
Intermix has 30 plus websites but its primer
site is MySpace.com
·
MySpace.com is a social networking site tailored
to the 20 and under crowd
·
Intermix owns 53% of MySpace.com but buying the
47% it doesn’t own
·
Google guaranteed to give MySpace and other News
Corp. web sites a minimum of $900M in ad revenue till 2009
·
Dow Jones & Co.:
·
Acquired Dow Jones for $5 billion, a 67% premium
– August 2007
·
Rupert Murdoch pursued a deal with Dow Jones for
over five years and finally won over the Bancroft family who controlled Dow
Jones
·
Dow Jones Wall Street Journal is the second
largest paper in the U.S
·
Dow Jones owns Marketwatch (which they bought in
January 2005 for $528 million from Larry Kramer), Barron’s and Factiva.
News Corp General Info:
· Fox:
· Fox News:
·
In 2002 surpassed CNN as the No.1 news channel
in the
· The 23 FOX TV stations account for 40% of News Corp’s total earnings
· TV operations were its largest generator of revenue with 28% in 2002
· Fox Financial News – Fox launching a financial news network to rival CNBC in the first half of 2006
· BSkyB – 7.2M subscribers – average revenue per user 369 pounds – wants 400 pounds by 2005
·
BskyB allows sports wagering in the
· In 2003 – 15.1M people placed bets worth $214M
·
Sky Global – Investments in
· Newspaper and Coupons:
· Highest returns on its newspaper and supermarket coupon business
·
News Corp. Notables:
· Hired tobacco lobbyist Thomas Griscom for spokesman
· Consolidated all of its global satellite operations and investments
· US accounted for 78% of News Corps revenue in 2004
· Took a $293M charge in restructuring its relationship with WebMD and write downs for Juno Online and Six Degrees.com
· Fox Interactive Media – New house of their web sites and content in the US
· TV and Film represent News Corp.’s largest revenue generating segments followed by Cable-network programming and newspapers.
·
· Star Group LTD. – Star TV – Asian Satellite TV broadcaster
·
Makes US inspired TV shows for satellite TV in
·
·
Has 40 of the 50 top rated shows in
· No.2 broadcaster in after Hong-Kong based Phoenix Satellite TV
· Star has a 38% stake in Phoenix Satellite